Fifa International · resolved market
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae4a0aecfc6479374c5a9a355f0f0cba2c0680dff010b48a2c8b380423efd05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $820,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $945,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $820,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,100 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked No | 34c | 49,999$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,999.75 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 30c | 48,560$14,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,519.22 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6764…49c4backed Yes | 66c | 44,706$29,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,132.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 77c | 25,472$19,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.05 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 67c | 19,320$13,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,303.41 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed Yes | 80c | 19,137$15,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 76c | 17,232$13,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.58 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 74c | 14,820$11,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.29 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 79c | 13,306$10,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.02 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 12,666$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.08 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 25c | 12,280$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.06 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…5f83backed Yes | 80c | 12,158$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 79c | 10,719$8,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.02 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 34c | 10,223$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.21 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 33c | 10,052$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.45 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.94 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 9,999$7,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.81 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes | 71c | 9,215$6,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.95 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 25c | 8,369$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.71 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 21c | 8,285$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.53 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 65c | 8,176$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd8…d98dbacked Yes | 72c | 8,163$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked No | 20c | 7,719$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.01 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 33c | 7,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.97 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…a98cbacked Yes | 67c | 7,463$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.69 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 27c | 7,382$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.5 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 77c | 6,900$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.21 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 64c | 6,516$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.79 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 78c | 6,500$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 30c | 6,405$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.94 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 74c | 6,253$4,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.96 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 31c | 5,800$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.97 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 70c | 5,507$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.26 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 68c | 5,434$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.17 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Yes | 80c | 5,367$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed No | 32c | 5,339$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.37 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 30c | 5,043$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.76 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Yes | 66c | 5,023$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.84 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.95 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 66c | 4,950$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked No | 37c | 4,919$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.15 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 75c | 4,886$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.04 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345a…b413backed Yes | 70c | 4,862$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.93 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 21c | 4,768$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.22 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 71c | 4,480$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.2 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…7ea1backed Yes | 66c | 4,341$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed No | 28c | 4,248$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.49 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 31c | 4,244$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.82 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…2d07backed Yes | 71c | 4,215$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.94 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 29c | 4,165$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.8 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 35c | 4,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c0…7aedbacked Yes | 69c | 3,955$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.7 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…f26dbacked Yes | 66c | 3,866$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.53 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 31c | 3,772$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.2 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 75c | 3,616$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.1 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 67c | 3,500$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.99 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 3,354$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 30c | 3,069$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.85 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 61c | 2,955$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.83 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 69c | 2,952$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.26 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 30c | 2,930$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.98 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…6f95backed Yes | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 30c | 2,826$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.08 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 21c | 2,803$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.85 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 70c | 2,754$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 27c | 2,565$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.63 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 29c | 2,534$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.73 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…e4d2backed Yes | 66c | 2,434$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 21c | 2,411$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.83 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed No | 3c | 2,340$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 31c | 2,337$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.55 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 20c | 2,304$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.71 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…a351backed Yes | 80c | 2,270$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 31c | 2,261$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.18 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes | 70c | 2,217$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.69 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 31c | 2,204$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.44 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 22c | 2,076$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.06 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 66c | 2,061$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.61 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…1fcabacked Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…79d9backed Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.97 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 62c | 1,996$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.58 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 28c | 1,991$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.01 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 26c | 1,989$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.71 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 78c | 1,923$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.07 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 67c | 1,900$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.99 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 30c | 1,870$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd90…c772backed Yes | 69c | 1,870$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…6148backed Yes | 70c | 1,792$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed No | 35c | 1,762$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.7 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 32c | 1,732$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.69 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 29c | 1,699$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.95 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,594$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.38 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 65c | 1,580$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.79 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 28c | 1,565$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.05 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.