Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9da323e862ca9e583ae67a5130c8c79960cf173e7d76165cefd4ecd7f9333b90

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $360,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $279,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,065 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x40b9…b002backed Yes	16c	25,626$4,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,062.38	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	19c	17,140$3,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,290.2	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	9c	15,910$1,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,468.55	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	77c	12,490$9,607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,883.43	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes	24c	12,025$2,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,887.78	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No	80c	10,023$8,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,004.6	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	30c	9,245$2,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,752.18	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	22c	9,145$2,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055.85	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes	21c	8,827$1,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,853.66	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-9.1wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	25c	8,160$2,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,050.7	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	78c	7,575$5,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,685.95	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	18c	7,275$1,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,342.16	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	77c	7,178$5,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,649.53	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	22c	6,639$1,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,443.08	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes	25c	6,560$1,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,653	163	42.9%70 W · 93 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c88…7c45backed Yes	26c	6,387$1,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,677.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	19c	6,090$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.34	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b9…1284backed No	78c	4,932$3,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,079.23	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	62cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes	23c	4,826$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110.84	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	76c	4,466$3,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071.74	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No	67c	4,385$2,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,452.12	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	74c	4,244$3,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,095.46	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	10c	4,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Yes	23c	3,173$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718	74	45.9%34 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No	74c	3,086$2,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$814.01	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes	26c	3,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	139	33.8%47 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	25c	3,000$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.23	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	77c	2,827$2,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.12	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No	78c	2,802$2,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.27	217	49.8%108 W · 109 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	7c	2,715$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.59	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed Yes	2c	2,603$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.03	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	22c	2,449$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.6	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0923…bd50backed Yes	24c	2,292$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-78%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	79c	2,232$1,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	212	39.6%84 W · 128 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	24c	2,207$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.61	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7837…8f97backed Yes	29c	2,155$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.33	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d79…1c29backed No	76c	2,120$1,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.39	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+6.4wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	78c	2,076$1,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.96	376	44.9%169 W · 207 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No	75c	2,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	76c	1,690$1,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.38	182	46.2%84 W · 98 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes	20c	1,675$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.02	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	27c	1,649$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.35	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No	78c	1,561$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.72	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No	78c	1,495$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.23	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	16c	1,461$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.73	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Yes	23c	1,455$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.42	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	77c	1,411$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.23	285	54.4%155 W · 130 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed Yes	21c	1,410$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.91	95	16.8%16 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd558…8b1bbacked Yes	9c	1,323$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.05	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	73c	1,293$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.97	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	71c	1,248$891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.08	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	76c	1,226$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.73	199	39.7%79 W · 120 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	78c	1,153$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.5	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x100a…0919backed No	73c	1,139$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.53	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	78c	1,133$883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.18	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40f0…f925backed Yes	20c	1,084$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.75	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-81.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Yes	22c	1,023$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	25c	1,007$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.75	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3752…9d56backed Yes	26c	1,000$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes	19c	999.98$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes	24c	999.91$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.98	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	20c	984.99$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No	77c	970.68$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.45	241	44.8%108 W · 133 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	11c	959.62$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.56	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Yes	21c	936.26$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.61	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes	33c	905.31$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.43	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8734…a7b2backed Yes	22c	905.08$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes	21c	880$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.8	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No	70c	876.19$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.81	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	24c	800.09$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.32	226	50.9%115 W · 111 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe791…f546backed Yes	1c	800$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	40	20%8 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	21c	799.67$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.82	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	78c	793$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.92	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes	24c	791.78$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.03	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	58c	677.42$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.52	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	25c	676.95$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.19	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-11.5wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes	22c	673$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.06	258	48.4%125 W · 133 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	75c	664.69$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.17	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dec…c9d7backed Yes	44c	659.48$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.12	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	44cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes	23c	633.89$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.79	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No	77c	633.65$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.74	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	21c	612.38$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.67	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes	23c	604.59$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.06	39	5.1%2 W · 37 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	21cpaid	-92.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	22c	603$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.24	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b3…a386backed No	76c	600$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	75c	596.15$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.66	184	52.7%97 W · 87 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6235…7a5ebacked Yes	22c	564$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.08	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…4541backed Yes	23c	557.78$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	186	44.6%83 W · 103 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	502	14.5%73 W · 429 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6de6…d900backed Yes	27c	499.99$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	56c	498.16$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.19	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	12c	480.31$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.64	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes	22c	480.04$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.45	106	34%36 W · 70 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe098…c26abacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event