TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4eee…5841

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6716.4%11 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adidas be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$799.26
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$9,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,700.26
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$8,728Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+533.2%+$46,539.43
Will Nike be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,372.5%+$532.26
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.83
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,155.45
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.09
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,577Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+165.1%+$4,253.62
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$7,481.1
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$467.26
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.57
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$7,734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,733.94
Will Nike be the shirt manufacturer of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,336.08
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,083.99
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.75
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$3,227.53
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$599.99
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$5,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,384.8
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,776.61
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,789.71
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.62
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$7,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,688.97
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$7,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,895.28
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.5
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+101.9%+$92.33
Will Ciucu win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48.83
Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$155.66
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+1,129.9%+$2,112.98
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300.37
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$34.15
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$66.09
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$117.14
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$491.96
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.69
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+302.3%+$1,998.03
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Simion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$172.25
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,831.6
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.72
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,931Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,930.59
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$801.27
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,653Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+167.7%+$11,158.87
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-62%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,012.29
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13,394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+393.5%+$52,709.93
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,673.9
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$8,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,618.99
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,518.49
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,010.53
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$730.2
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.35
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,336.57
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$984.89
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.39
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,432.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,753Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+329.9%+$25,575.69
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,107.33
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,247.09
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,658.59
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$848.75
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$853.53
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,487.86
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.31
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,100.46
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodri be named to the 2026 PFA Premier League Team of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$95.53
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.03
Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,106.17
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,112.24
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Nuno Santo be the first EPL manager fired?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-72.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$184.13
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Tate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$136.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.