World Politics · resolved market
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x035a31006f1116eb5c17462ad4814b9b30a576f55c8397a9e454c4857266cd79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Yes | 9c | 18,364$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…4708backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…6a01backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,603$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 12c | 2,558$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 8c | 2,404$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.2 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…3a06backed Yes | 4c | 2,402$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe923…0779backed Yes | 9c | 2,141$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 9c | 1,941$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…e1afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,512$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,512$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…5399backed Yes | 6c | 1,409$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +654.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 1,380$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,211$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 8c | 936$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…9eeabacked Yes | 11c | 930.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 751.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…2a49backed Yes | 3c | 722.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…da1cbacked Yes | 17c | 568.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 17c | 561.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…3553backed Yes | 10c | 557.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 503.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…4e2bbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…2240backed Yes | 12c | 481.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…f920backed Yes | 5c | 468.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 11c | 444$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…22babacked Yes | 8c | 425.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 8c | 404.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 303.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 7c | 299.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572d…292abacked Yes | 8c | 267.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c380backed Yes | 17c | 236.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ca…bd97backed Yes | 22c | 231.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…3381backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 5c | 197.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf1…bf0dbacked Yes | 21c | 194$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2577backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 19c | 64.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…a4fdbacked Yes | 30c | 48.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Yes won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.