World Politics · resolved market
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc44f2236e0eb3999636b533f0d378bad499329049daa4c0f1a2510d963b6c2da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed Yes | 1c | 65,137$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed Yes | 29c | 28,983$8,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,409.32 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 17c | 21,596$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.15 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…9318backed Yes | 14c | 14,162$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 74c | 13,353$9,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,488.21 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…9648backed Yes | 21c | 13,102$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.37 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 3c | 9,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6194…e72abacked Yes | 47c | 9,203$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,325.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccb…d442backed No | 53c | 9,203$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed No | 70c | 9,049$6,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88f7…e7adbacked Yes | 1c | 7,163$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…af79backed Yes | 35c | 6,034$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 77c | 5,387$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.86 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 45c | 4,829$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.54 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 67c | 4,580$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.51 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…78c9backed Yes | 40c | 4,484$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…eab4backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 53c | 3,834$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.46 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed Yes | 2c | 3,517$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc276…c2d9backed Yes | 1c | 3,376$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 60c | 3,269$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.83 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 12c | 3,200$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.74 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e693backed Yes | 1c | 2,712$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 70c | 2,698$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 66c | 2,693$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.79 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…0c92backed Yes | 37c | 2,688$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked No | 62c | 2,647$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.15 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 27c | 2,642$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.89 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…e1afbacked Yes | 8c | 2,507$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 22c | 2,464$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.02 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 62c | 2,378$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.34 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fb…6eb5backed Yes | 55c | 2,114$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.42 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…1dc6backed No | 52c | 1,920$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…8336backed Yes | 3c | 1,782$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 19c | 1,676$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.59 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 49c | 1,475$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.64 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,200$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,170$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.89 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0349…b262backed Yes | 44c | 1,152$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…4a76backed Yes | 51c | 1,072$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,066$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.73 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 22c | 998.51$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.86 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 40c | 998$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.2 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 70c | 899.99$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed No | 53c | 861.7$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 35c | 796.98$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.82 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 64c | 792.34$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.23 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked No | 60c | 776.98$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 26c | 772.28$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…0694backed Yes | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c380backed Yes | 45c | 748.66$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 40c | 722.04$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.58 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…59d6backed Yes | 17c | 581.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…d612backed Yes | 39c | 505$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…8182backed Yes | 3c | 485.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 26c | 478.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 23c | 470.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.19 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 7c | 450$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c6…ecd4backed Yes | 47c | 433$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 41c | 418.54$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.19 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe5…72dabacked Yes | 47c | 398.56$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 27c | 375.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 53c | 342.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…7d1dbacked Yes | 45c | 334.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +182.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…0db5backed Yes | 45c | 308.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 39c | 273.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 39c | 253.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…55acbacked Yes | 40c | 246.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed No | 57c | 246.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…9ebfbacked Yes | 43c | 235.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…c971backed Yes | 12c | 219.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…6c8ebacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 29c | 193.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…6fe9backed Yes | 52c | 192.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…041cbacked Yes | 49c | 191.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 15c | 188$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Yes | 29c | 187.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…e654backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…73d7backed Yes | 22c | 137.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed No | 59c | 113.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 80c | 111.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…52d2backed Yes | 45c | 109.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 68c | 109.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 57c | 109.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da1…d461backed Yes | 46c | 108.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 38c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…e2ffbacked Yes | 40c | 100.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…b55dbacked Yes | 41c | 100.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 35c | 99.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea02…23d1backed Yes | 23c | 87.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +274.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 55c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?this page
- Will Ana-Maria Ciceală finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Yes won
- Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
- Will Vlad Voiculescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.