TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72ab…1a3e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,003
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 57 out of 100; worst IPO at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT13650%68 W · 68 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$15.63
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$116.93
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.23
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.4
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+126%+$141.39
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.93
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.84
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38%+$61.54
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.05
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.13
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.06
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$293.74
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$35.26
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.18
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$226.78
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$58.47
Will "Return to Silent Hill" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 2.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.2%+$25.13
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48.78
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.8%+$9.38
Will Greenland 2: Migration make 25 million or more domestically by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44.34
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT12251.6%63 W · 59 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.87
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+41.2%+$34.47
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+36.6%+$28.63
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$92.21
Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+26.3%+$11.61
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28.68
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+76.6%+$57.09
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$62.62
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.35
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.3%+$30.72
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+55.7%+$31.27
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+34%+$25.22
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+40.2%+$36.93
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+43.2%+$31.46
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$232.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.5%+$24.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+34%+$50.71
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 18-19°F on January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41.7
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -10°C on January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+188.8%+$20.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$57.51
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 46°F or higher on January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.92
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+292.8%+$125.55
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10370.9%73 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$16.69
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$14.48
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$27.75
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$49.63
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$34.33
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$10.5
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$113.44
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.84
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$13.52
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.95
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$54.61
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$14.53
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$22.8
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.14
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$157.5
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+41.8%+$29.89
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.59
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.64
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+52.3%+$66.13
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10165.3%66 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.28
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$21.88
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.3
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$3.32
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$37.72
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75.56
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.34
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.5%+$44.02
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27.2%+$7.6
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.49
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+59.4%+$14.85
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+68%+$23.29
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+64.3%+$54.95
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.67
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.14
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+79.7%+$38.8
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.34
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.78
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+84.7%+$33.55
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.61
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$289.65
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT9157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43%+$12.67
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$8.11
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$10.01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.68
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+248%+$87.47
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$74.98
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$83.81
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.95
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$140.23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.35
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+191.3%+$47.4
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$6.06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$194.84
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29%+$32.92
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+63.8%+$86.63
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+34.2%+$49.24
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.4%+$89.66
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.74
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$20.18
GPT ads by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT7554.7%41 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$125.13
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$129.7
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.53
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.41
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.41
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+167.9%+$109.25
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.29
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.29
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.93
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$22.15
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$25.3
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.49
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+403.9%+$68.46
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$9.6
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.02
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$147.08
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.61
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$53.18
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$42.4
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.63
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+164.2%+$29.92
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+46%+$18.9
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+101.1%+$75.54
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4475%33 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$18
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$16.09
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$28.68
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.08
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.5%+$20.91
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+135.3%+$68.29
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$175.26
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.9%+$14.48
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+62.7%+$123.26
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.44
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$45.94
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+34%+$11
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.37
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180.77
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.18
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+27.2%+$2.85
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+32%+$25.12
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.7%+$97.31
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.36
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+28.5%+$41.48
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.71
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$113.43
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$7.13
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+162.3%+$28.21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,960 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $325-$330 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.7
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $245-$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at <$168 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+213.1%+$41.33
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+67.4%+$20.38
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$68.82
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $235?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+120.1%+$16.31
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $225?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $335?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.31
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $330?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+80.8%+$37.44
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $6.50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+203.3%+$20.79
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $180?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.62
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 12 above $90?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+124.6%+$18.7
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+29.7%+$14.15
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $315?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $480?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.17
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.5%+$114.38
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.5%+$65.83
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+117.7%+$41.85
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.64
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$50.91
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.33
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$74.37
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.61
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.79
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40%+$53.26
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$99.14
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+221.1%+$59.25
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.01
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.85
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.09
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.64
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.27
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$32.88
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+282.5%+$51.1
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$18.92
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$48.75
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$14.05
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$6.72
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$19.69
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$13.86
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.76
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$44.18
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$17.07
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.88
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$108.85
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.3%+$13.56
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.23
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+51.4%+$51.66
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+90.1%+$64.99
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.3%+$67.53
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+68.9%+$37.24
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$123.38
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+98.8%+$42.81
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+55%+$33.41
Will there be three or four announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128.59
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.8
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.1%+$64.55
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.6%+$71.04
Will there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+552.2%+$76.2
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$79.78
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+45.6%+$28.2
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+180.8%+$37.94
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108.42
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+45.1%+$208.9
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.2%+$113.44
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.2%+$28.92
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.1%+$28.12
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+72.5%+$95.78
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.2%+$61.11
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+34.7%+$6.7
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$61.1
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26%+$18.56
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.71
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.33
Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30%+$44.24
Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102.48
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.4%+$25.3
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.92
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.6%+$31.5
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+79.4%+$116.28
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.48
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+45.9%+$30.15
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.5%+$237.41
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$72.38
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+27%+$10.51
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+34.6%+$16.06
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+64.2%+$9.2
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$22.08
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$65.12
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21.14
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.02
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$70.04
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.6%+$28.27
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+43.5%+$15.08
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+58%+$10.22
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+41.8%+$10.9
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$76.51
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+52.9%+$31.11
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+88.6%+$37.82
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$204.27
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+38.5%+$38.61
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+52.5%+$13.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+43%+$34.27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$112.96
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+266.8%+$226.87
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$171.21
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+50%+$15.21
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+68.8%+$20.82
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+41.7%+$15.36
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.72
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.2%+$11.7
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+39.4%+$84.51
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$103.15
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$176.94
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 20% on December 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+164.6%+$23.78
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53.9
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$56.54
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+27.4%+$30.65
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+56.6%+$75.84
Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+57.4%+$57.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$23.46
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+39%+$14.28
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.09
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.94
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$25.22
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$82.73
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$19.97
Will James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$12.15
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+68.9%+$40.35
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.93
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$17.32
Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.54
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$176.68
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+61.1%+$178.05
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$208.5
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.2%+$147.83
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+43.1%+$52.4
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100.77
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117%+$175.21
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44%+$26.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.4%+$85.25
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+48%+$139.34
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.9%+$73.43
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$634.73
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$116.73
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.4%+$45.95
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25.9%+$8.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+33.8%+$26.22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+36.5%+$32.1
All 17 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+82.5%+$40.62
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+42.4%+$43.81
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.19
Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+41.2%+$45.21
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+50.7%+$49.26
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.2%+$124.12
Will Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+29.4%+$29.43
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.6%+$34.31
Will CarMax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+30.3%+$42.93
Will Lennar Corp (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+595.9%+$109.32
Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.3%+$27.01
Will Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.15
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+51%+$17.55
Will Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45.71
All 15 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$40.06
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55.7
Will "Man's Best Friend - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.3%+$23.38
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+32.7%+$22.2
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+45.3%+$15.76
Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
Will The Fate Of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+73.3%+$61.34
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$108.09
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.07
D4vd arrested by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.5%+$8.22
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$72.45
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.9%+$72.8
Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$16.26
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+274.8%+$104.5
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+72%+$73.68
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+125.6%+$65.12
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$127.37
Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.21
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.27
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+140.9%+$38.61
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+38.7%+$46.65
Will Dak Prescott lead the NFL in passing yards this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+94.6%+$30.96
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33.9
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+118.6%+$55.83
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.34
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54.48
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+151.4%+$80.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.36
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+79.9%+$60.68
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.1%+$61.43
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$47.98
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.58
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.8%+$6.73
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,400 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.77
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Silver · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.9%+$15.83
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.1%+$16.94
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+29.3%+$70.29
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$211.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29.3
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+52.6%+$51
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+64%+$58.93
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.8%+$3.73
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28%+$53.01
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30.74
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+39.7%+$18.33
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25.4%+$80.95
All 8 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.43
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$8.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.33
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+52.4%+$60.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $MARU reach $1B in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$12.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$39.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.