NFL · resolved market
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3c778a1d6bab110201be110a4ae24c39e0c65f0db19f31f38e394a835a1c7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 26c | 7,204$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Yes | 41c | 4,839$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.54 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,825$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.03 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 24c | 2,578$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.8 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,445$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.82 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 66c | 2,181$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.45 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked No | 75c | 2,063$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.14 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…a4babacked No | 1c | 1,924$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…f7bcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,686$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 48c | 1,384$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.19 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 37c | 1,250$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.01 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 58c | 1,182$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.59 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 59c | 1,126$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.71 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 60c | 974.83$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.58 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Yes | 36c | 932.09$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.54 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 60c | 869.69$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 59c | 709.94$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.69 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 14c | 707.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.21 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 62c | 645.83$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…2527backed Yes | 75c | 616.7$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…c877backed Yes | 33c | 611.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.59 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 60c | 600.91$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 63c | 591.01$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Yes | 51c | 590.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.29 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 52c | 573.1$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.14 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 35c | 557.9$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 39c | 492.8$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.38 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 59c | 470.22$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Yes | 58c | 459.39$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 63c | 414.95$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 51c | 367.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 53c | 360$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 65c | 358.67$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 35c | 334.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…1b74backed Yes | 61c | 300$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 43c | 288.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…4d16backed Yes | 36c | 283.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.46 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 43c | 268.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 68c | 254$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked No | 59c | 243.9$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…0d72backed Yes | 48c | 231.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a2…cdeebacked Yes | 27c | 230.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 57c | 223.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 34c | 223.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…ca71backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 35c | 210.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 50c | 206.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 13c | 201.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.27 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 198.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Yes | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 48c | 191.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…e744backed Yes | 46c | 179$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 53c | 154$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 48c | 153.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +167.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…d569backed Yes | 46c | 149$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes | 25c | 140.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 33c | 139.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 15c | 134$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…8696backed Yes | 38c | 131.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…ba22backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 35c | 121.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab2…9490backed No | 31c | 115.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939b…9cd7backed Yes | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…8979backed Yes | 49c | 112.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed Yes | 45c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…4ac4backed No | 68c | 101.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 39c | 86.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7185…a5bcbacked Yes | 46c | 76.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…d84ebacked No | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…56fdbacked Yes | 24c | 68.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 42cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 47c | 67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 28c | 65.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…fa9ebacked Yes | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa685…0524backed Yes | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…206abacked Yes | 25c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…6011backed No | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b4…b0c1backed Yes | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ef…1573backed Yes | 47c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…e335backed Yes | 61c | 55.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…f310backed Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc883…54efbacked Yes | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…fc74backed No | 54c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Yes | 54c | 53.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c9…8b42backed Yes | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 61c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0335…a1a3backed Yes | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7b…b568backed Yes | 39c | 50.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63c…1b6abacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?this page
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the AFC North?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win the AFC North?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.