NFL · resolved market

Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74f6aa8144daf93f45c67ac5134ec1b6acc1c80fde043cea457929cbd6afd007

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $70,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $71,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,327 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	50c	5,229$2,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,615.22	224	34.4%77 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes	58c	3,650$2,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,128.76	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52f…e6b0backed Yes	80c	3,000$2,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,397.3	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes	59c	2,129$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245.28	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-36%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No	20c	2,080$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,664.3	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes	56c	1,642$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920.03	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes	61c	1,608$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.82	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd914…4ac4backed Yes	66c	1,507$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.8	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.26per pick	71cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	50c	1,398$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.23	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes	44c	1,203$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Yes	60c	1,120$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.1	165	45.5%75 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	44c	1,078$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.07	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	+20.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Yes	58c	1,042$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No	44c	1,000$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes	56c	1,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	104	34.6%36 W · 68 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	59c	900$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.37	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes	57c	805.39$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.17	132	17.4%23 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+104.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes	37c	776.86$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.51	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-6.5wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No	56c	758.88$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.95	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	57c	694.02$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.65	88	18.2%16 W · 72 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f52…f489backed Yes	57c	603.9$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.54	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	45c	601.05$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.07	294	39.5%116 W · 178 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	67c	600$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.7	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	36c	600$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	84	28.6%24 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa561…36c9backed Yes	57c	526.32$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.7wins	-0.45per pick	61cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Yes	57c	525.14$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-6.6wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a47…5533backed Yes	60c	515.64$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes	59c	506.95$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.1	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes	56c	500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked No	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed No	44c	500$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes	50c	468.99$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.5	176	48.9%86 W · 90 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	45c	448.27$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.54	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes	42c	422$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.4	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed Yes	38c	419.58$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.52	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes	78c	392.15$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.08	243	51.4%125 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No	34c	388.04$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.61	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7185…a5bcbacked Yes	58c	370.71$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.23	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	30c	345.7$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.49	415	40.2%167 W · 248 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No	34c	326.31$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.54	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.21per pick	48cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No	43c	312.75$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.65	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb342…c4ecbacked Yes	58c	310.35$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…1b74backed Yes	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da2…931dbacked Yes	40c	250.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes	56c	231$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.36	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	-7.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	37c	222.88$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.73	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	55c	220$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.29	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d3…a77bbacked No	58c	207.42$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.12	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6795…10d2backed Yes	57c	201.75$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes	63c	200$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.9	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes	61c	200$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	183	36.1%66 W · 117 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	66	7.6%5 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-81%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Yes	36c	200$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…f7bcbacked No	39c	194.53$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.71	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.29per pick	37cpaid	+53%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c10…df5cbacked No	70c	184.68$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.88	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0274…307bbacked Yes	60c	174.95$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.97	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed Yes	77c	172.22$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed No	57c	145.19$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.27	283	37.8%107 W · 176 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1005…a1a2backed Yes	42c	145$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes	70c	143.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	44.4%67 W · 84 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No	51c	142.58$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.17	342	47.4%162 W · 180 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c69…15dcbacked Yes	45c	141$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc441…8722backed Yes	64c	139.95$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6653…7a41backed Yes	72c	138.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	54c	138$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.9	488	47.5%232 W · 256 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…0ba7backed Yes	42c	134$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.28	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+50%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7788…ba41backed Yes	52c	132$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed No	32c	130$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.14	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+70.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	61c	128.1$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.96	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd895…2980backed Yes	46c	126$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f5…7cfdbacked Yes	59c	122.03$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e1…ed9fbacked Yes	42c	120$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No	36c	115.75$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.17	65	58.5%38 W · 27 L	+6.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x939b…9cd7backed Yes	47c	115$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.25	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	46c	114.99$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.82	184	27.7%51 W · 133 L	-18.4wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe992…2962backed No	44c	113.64$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Yes	66c	113.49$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff9c…526dbacked Yes	57c	110.53$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24fd…9198backed Yes	12c	109$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x85da…34b8backed Yes	69c	108.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aea…997ebacked Yes	42c	108$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.36	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda41…901ebacked Yes	41c	106$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No	46c	102.9$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.83	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Yes	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	159	44%70 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	528	28.6%151 W · 377 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed No	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd87…dd8bbacked No	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed No	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Yes	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	61c	98.68$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.22	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	58c	96.5$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.45	61	34.4%21 W · 40 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes	51c	93$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.43	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes	54c	92.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	220	53.2%117 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes	65c	92.31$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Yes	55c	90$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	375	56.3%211 W · 164 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes	29c	90$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.77	684	46.1%315 W · 369 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8f…650abacked Yes	57c	87.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd4…e335backed Yes	45c	86$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.61	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47bb…81bcbacked Yes	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	58cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…0ff3backed Yes	41c	83$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?this page
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the AFC North?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win the AFC North?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event