TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf655…7ea4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
510
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST16226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 162 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,977.32
Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.22
Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$110.14
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$9,115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$3,723.13
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$29,592.14
Will DeMarcus Lawrence win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$103.63
Will Nick Emmanwori win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26.45
Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$255.68
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,187.5%+$14,893.55
Will Hunter Henry win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$77.62
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,360.25
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,372Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+630.3%+$21,253.92
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$7,500
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.5%+$3,518.78
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$602.45
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$6,206.23
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$9,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$9,591.83
Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$70.09
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,611Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,611.06
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.2%+$359.99
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,543Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.1%+$663.85
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$498.26
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$4,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,157.76
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,387.53
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15,325.34
Showing 25 of 162 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT8232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,869.65
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,804Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+227.5%+$6,379.69
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$161.33
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big East conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,777.72
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.12
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,348.67
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$3,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,227.92
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64,353Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$79,646.69
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,685.25
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37,890Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+210.7%+$79,826.21
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,516.27
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.03
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$42,949.99
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,350
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.8
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.86
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.66
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$838.54
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,689Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$2,866.38
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$6,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,921.95
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$9,625Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2,875
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$765
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,366.4
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17,895Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+30%+$5,363.79
Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12,332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3,753.36
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+1,965.9%+$2,094.7
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17,986Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+221%+$39,744.05
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$619.31
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$947.05
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$127.87
Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.62
Will Canada win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Will Cal Raleigh win the 2025 AL MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$137.65
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.6%+$811.34
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,413Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.1%+$679.07
Will Garrett Crochet win the 2025 AL Cy Young?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$127.41
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2025 AL Cy Young?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$563.83
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2025 NL Cy Young?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+97.8%+$344.08
Will Shohei Ohtani be named the 2025 World Series MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,277.29
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43,533Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+43.1%+$18,750.45
Will the Dodgers beat the Blue Jays 4-3backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,203.41
MLB 2025: Will a #1 Seed Win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.18
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,389.94
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,859Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+493%+$19,025.98
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,419.81
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,534Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+493.8%+$7,574.96
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT4027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,545.39
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+557.1%+$4,391.29
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$347.31
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,867.04
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,166.55
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.49
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008.98
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.41
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096.96
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.29
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.46
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.01
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.65
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+106.5%+$190.87
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$516.12
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.59
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$800
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$725
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,800
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.97
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,798Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$4,202
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$505
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19,789Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+251.5%+$49,769.27
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,195.82
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14,365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$18,767.22
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$400.21
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.49
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,753Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+130%+$3,579.76
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$773.61
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$6,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,682.2
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$3,450
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,548.87
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,659.18
Will Pascal Siakam Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$828Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$827.76
Will Jalen Williams Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$555.85
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+101.1%+$1,286.55
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.9
Will Tyrese Haliburton Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$621.44
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+147.2%+$2,398.5
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,675
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$1,600
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$670
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,045.52
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.6
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$898.38
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,551Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+193.6%+$12,685.54
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$330.88
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+114.7%+$520.54
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$581.08
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$223.37
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$681Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$1,321.25
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,521Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+117.8%+$5,325.43
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.75
Will Novak Djokovic win a Grand Slam tournament in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$20.29
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$596.23
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,728.32
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,772.84
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,599.99
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$3,455
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.5
Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$362.88
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11,276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$3,372
Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.03
Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.92
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,614.75
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,847.82
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.24
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+156.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45,107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75%+$33,818.84
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51,335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$59,787.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.45
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,651.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,055.15
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.34
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.01
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.57
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,046.91
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,413.41
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$938Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$937.61
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,437.15
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+5,622.6%+$32,786.67
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$100.8
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,652.31
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$903.39
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.17
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$323.18
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.73
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.18
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$54.24
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$252.83
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,886.52
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,239.97
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+224.9%+$13,495.38
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,337.35
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.09
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$6,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$8,249.91
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,599.98
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$876.94
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.63
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26,603Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$7,840.96
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,400
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,250.36
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.65
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,511.09
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+138.7%+$1,316.78
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.8%+$8,790.3
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$192.13
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+50.2%+$101.88
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$213.19
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$559.32
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35.23
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$66.24
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$68.12
Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$32.55
Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$11.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-76.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210.02
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.26
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$313
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$402
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.77
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+28.5%+$43.79
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$951Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+57.7%+$549
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$184.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14,698Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64.8%+$9,520.78
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$9,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+182.6%+$18,207.16
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+158.5%+$3,352.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22,875Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$8,529.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11,924Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.6%+$3,405.61
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$902.97
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,544.82
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,917.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+52.7%+$345
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-59.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,488.54
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,525.4
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.38
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.56
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$89.36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$7,200
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-55.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.53
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$685
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.