NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaf176c727f45efe8bf877d8311e11f203a8fd6bc7fcfd886bdd31748beaf44f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,090,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,528,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,090,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nuggets | 46c | 766,100$354,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354,761.44 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 30c | 757,999$228,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529,985.78 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 70c | 500,439$350,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350,307.23 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Timberwolves | 58c | 434,198$250,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,197.89 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 36c | 331,500$119,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,306.7 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Timberwolves | 34c | 247,409$85,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,230.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Nuggets | 73c | 214,604$156,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,462.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Nuggets | 68c | 195,267$132,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,819.66 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets | 53c | 186,050$99,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,241.77 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Nuggets | 44c | 176,028$78,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,190.46 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nuggets | 57c | 175,889$100,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,206.34 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Timberwolves | 27c | 152,535$41,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,350.65 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 33c | 130,844$42,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,233.88 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Timberwolves | 72c | 126,532$91,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,004.22 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 73c | 81,486$59,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,484.92 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Timberwolves | 27c | 79,999$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,399.57 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Nuggets | 59c | 76,454$44,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,883.04 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Timberwolves | 64c | 75,673$48,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,995.74 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 73c | 70,000$51,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,100 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 69c | 69,832$48,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,352.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Nuggets | 70c | 63,366$44,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,356.37 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 61,865$32,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,086.76 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Timberwolves | 60c | 61,260$36,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,349.26 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Timberwolves | 27c | 60,107$16,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,873.81 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Nuggets | 53c | 54,472$28,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,765.28 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Nuggets | 29c | 51,000$14,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,629.99 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 43c | 49,234$21,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,357.52 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets | 65c | 48,473$31,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,373.68 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Timberwolves | 26c | 47,250$12,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,964.97 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Timberwolves | 43c | 46,964$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,964.25 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Nuggets | 72c | 44,688$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Nuggets | 69c | 43,500$30,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,130 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 42,055$29,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,069.3 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Timberwolves | 76c | 41,923$31,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,992.55 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Nuggets | 73c | 40,000$29,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,200 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Nuggets | 73c | 39,779$29,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,038.38 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Timberwolves | 27c | 37,000$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,010 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Timberwolves | 66c | 36,153$23,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,157.34 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Nuggets | 70c | 30,000$21,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,000 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 30,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Nuggets | 68c | 29,412$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Nuggets | 65c | 28,356$18,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,500 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Nuggets | 69c | 28,314$19,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500.92 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 64c | 26,450$16,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,837.07 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Timberwolves | 66c | 25,912$17,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,879.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Timberwolves | 27c | 25,111$6,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,330.81 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…6ca6backed Nuggets | 70c | 25,000$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Nuggets | 62c | 24,172$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.98 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Nuggets | 6c | 24,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Timberwolves | 56c | 23,474$13,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,292.36 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…d8e5backed Nuggets | 0c | 23,275$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Timberwolves | 50c | 22,060$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,059.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Timberwolves | 27c | 21,911$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,995.06 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Nuggets | 69c | 21,846$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Nuggets | 70c | 21,147$14,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,767.95 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets | 62c | 20,866$12,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,940.78 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Nuggets | 0c | 20,630$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Nuggets | 40c | 20,481$8,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,111.14 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,999.99 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 19,849$9,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,656.01 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Nuggets | 52c | 19,273$10,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,022.14 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Nuggets | 73c | 19,183$14,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,003.59 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Nuggets | 68c | 19,040$12,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,923.19 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Nuggets | 52c | 18,877$9,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,857.12 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Timberwolves | 28c | 18,000$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,977.91 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…f679backed Nuggets | 68c | 17,429$11,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,851.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Nuggets | 10c | 16,999$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.17 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Nuggets | 73c | 16,990$12,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,369.39 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 28c | 16,828$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,037.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Timberwolves | 31c | 16,129$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,129.03 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Timberwolves | 56c | 15,815$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,964.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 15,765$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,720.2 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Nuggets | 65c | 15,703$10,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,230.29 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Nuggets | 72c | 15,537$11,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,251.21 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…45c6backed Nuggets | 68c | 14,706$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Nuggets | 70c | 14,286$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Timberwolves | 22c | 14,173$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,054.55 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Nuggets | 38c | 14,106$5,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,326.54 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 52c | 13,694$7,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,122.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Nuggets | 66c | 13,229$8,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,731.34 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9552backed Timberwolves | 35c | 13,162$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,604.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Nuggets | 65c | 12,300$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.98 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…ae70backed Nuggets | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Timberwolves | 29c | 11,782$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,382.41 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…6c57backed Timberwolves | 44c | 11,229$4,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,247.62 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Nuggets | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.94 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 72c | 11,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Nuggets | 2c | 11,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Timberwolves | 37c | 11,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.97 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nuggets | 56c | 10,980$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.37 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…920ebacked Nuggets | 4c | 10,811$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,692$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.32 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Nuggets | 61c | 10,661$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490.33 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Nuggets | 52c | 10,443$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Timberwolves | 27c | 10,407$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,597.44 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 10,400$5,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.37 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Nuggets | 72c | 10,376$7,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,441.49 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Nuggets | 22c | 10,346$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.91 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.