NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c4a9b9ea9ed7a9c0a707dfc546587eff4650f8c10694aabe45981520c0e0ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Under | 52c | 51,100$26,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,527.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 48c | 39,387$18,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,905.53 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 70c | 22,499$15,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.5 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…32b6backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 33c | 17,661$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,855.71 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 11,133$5,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,405.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 61c | 8,191$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 45c | 7,503$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Over | 49c | 7,288$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.25 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 44c | 6,677$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 35c | 5,586$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 5,570$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.84 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 48c | 5,480$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.4 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 45c | 5,008$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.4 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 4,634$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 4,607$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.37 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 4,431$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.49 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 33c | 3,685$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 2,913$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.56 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 2,647$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Over | 53c | 2,300$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 2,200$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…0875backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 1,900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 35c | 1,876$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.84 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4f…ec14backed Under | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.11 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 46c | 1,692$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.54 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 1,680$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.32 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Under | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.43 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.99 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 1,537$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.06 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 53c | 1,490$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.3 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 51c | 1,300$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.97 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Under | 55c | 1,223$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Under | 67c | 1,207$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.91 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 39c | 1,136$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.73 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 49c | 1,080$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.2 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 1,025$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.68 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 66c | 1,011$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.91 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…f9f4backed Under | 62c | 963.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.14 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 56c | 906.32$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.14 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 54c | 904$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.52 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 885.12$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 59c | 857.41$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.65 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 53c | 824.25$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.4 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 51c | 813.73$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 803.57$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.2 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 689.36$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.65 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…cc6abacked Under | 53c | 689.26$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 37c | 636.45$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…eaa6backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 69c | 577.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 55c | 563.64$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.64 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 43c | 548.79$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Under | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 49c | 539.96$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.73 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 45c | 531.91$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.36 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 521.27$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 45c | 479.77$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.79 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 45c | 467.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 45c | 425.53$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 49c | 420$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…0997backed Under | 52c | 417.31$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 47c | 401.48$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…ca8dbacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…5a00backed Under | 52c | 399.95$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 45c | 373.91$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Over | 33c | 349$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 47c | 344.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.82 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Under | 52c | 318.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.83 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 50c | 290.29$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.38 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 35c | 285.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…8129backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 272.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.92 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 42c | 259.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 63c | 252.37$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…a7afbacked Over | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +469.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 44c | 244$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Under | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Under | 47c | 227.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 53c | 219.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 216.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 30c | 213.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.