NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f0b57afe994e70c0c35ea50c8c11b17efb88ef5d5827862e50c3edc51ee399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 50c | 5,040$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.21 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 50c | 3,012$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.16 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…09afbacked Over | 1c | 2,759$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 2,572$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.81 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 2,500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 2,469$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.55 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 40c | 1,913$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.79 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 49c | 1,373$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.47 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 1,296$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.81 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…c324backed Under | 49c | 1,138$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 49c | 571.56$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.23 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 467.07$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.45 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 392.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Over | 38c | 358.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Under | 49c | 355$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Over | 19c | 268$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 23c | 243.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 221$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 7c | 213.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…edc2backed Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 39c | 157.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 157$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Over | 7c | 155$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 63c | 128.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…169bbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Under | 53c | 117.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 115.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 19c | 113.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Under | 80c | 103.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e7cbbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd474…5edebacked Over | 39c | 75.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 19c | 72.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed Under | 35c | 61.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…b1e7backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 66c | 54.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Over | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 72c | 45.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…3003backed Over | 48c | 41.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Over | 49c | 40.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…76e3backed Over | 27c | 40.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…563cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Under | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 80c | 37.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 42c | 37.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 63c | 33.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 48c | 31.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…1fe4backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 23.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…efd8backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…d4b3backed Under | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 73c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.