NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3628c8a9e53698d8a6742d5a8d8a0a54a8aed0dfcfcc9a4785317fa6eca7225a

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $624,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $616,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,060 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Nuggets	57c	167,768$95,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95,858.75	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Timberwolves	46c	150,000$69,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80,999.9	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves	46c	80,117$37,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,080.24	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Timberwolves	42c	58,900$24,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,930	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Nuggets	54c	40,000$21,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,600	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Nuggets	54c	35,855$19,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,361.59	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves	42c	29,211$12,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,944.37	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets	54c	24,310$13,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,127.4	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nuggets	45c	23,827$10,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,766.59	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves	47c	23,222$10,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,295.55	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Nuggets	53c	20,465$10,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,784.1	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Nuggets	54c	20,400$11,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,016	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets	54c	17,703$9,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,559.78	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Nuggets	54c	14,540$7,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,851.67	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Nuggets	50c	14,488$7,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,223	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Nuggets	53c	12,927$6,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,850	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves	43c	12,479$5,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,130.92	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves	48c	12,118$5,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,354.25	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Nuggets	54c	11,111$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.94	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Timberwolves	42c	10,468$4,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,071.44	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets	39c	9,101$3,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,545.89	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Nuggets	54c	8,704$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,700	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets	54c	8,621$4,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,614.39	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Timberwolves	60c	7,447$4,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,978.91	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Timberwolves	44c	7,202$3,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,033.38	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Nuggets	13c	6,507$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.2	208	37.5%78 W · 130 L	+38.2wins	+0.18per pick	19cpaid	+115.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Nuggets	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,120	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Timberwolves	48c	5,996$2,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,120.39	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Timberwolves	43c	5,936$2,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,389.54	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Nuggets	51c	5,882$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Nuggets	54c	5,500$2,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,970	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Timberwolves	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,650	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.99	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves	46c	4,744$2,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,578.77	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Nuggets	51c	4,367$2,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,226.99	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf12f…0505backed Nuggets	51c	4,216$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Nuggets	54c	4,000$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,160	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Nuggets	57c	3,684$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Nuggets	50c	3,528$1,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752.21	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Nuggets	53c	3,360$1,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,780.95	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Nuggets	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Timberwolves	43c	2,998$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,718.18	166	42.2%70 W · 96 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves	50c	2,970$1,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,491.65	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves	50c	2,598$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,309.96	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Nuggets	54c	2,593$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves	45c	2,375$1,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,313.93	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Timberwolves	43c	2,168$921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,246.57	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Timberwolves	49c	2,100$1,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Timberwolves	47c	2,000$940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Nuggets	51c	1,942$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nuggets	29c	1,930$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.17	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Timberwolves	43c	1,860$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,060.47	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfe…0df5backed Nuggets	56c	1,786$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Nuggets	50c	1,700$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	147	46.9%69 W · 78 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves	42c	1,667$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$966.86	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Nuggets	54c	1,650$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891	106	45.3%48 W · 58 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f37…dedbbacked Nuggets	58c	1,517$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Nuggets	52c	1,346$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Nuggets	40c	1,257$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Nuggets	57c	1,228$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	219	57.1%125 W · 94 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Nuggets	57c	1,208$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686	165	55.8%92 W · 73 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves	46c	1,175$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.57	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Nuggets	2c	1,150$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-49%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Nuggets	3c	1,125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Nuggets	3c	1,125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Nuggets	3c	1,125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	42	0%0 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Nuggets	3c	1,125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-88.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Nuggets	3c	1,125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	43	7%3 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Timberwolves	42c	1,100$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638	304	48.4%147 W · 157 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Timberwolves	48c	1,050$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.98	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nuggets	54c	1,015$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.23	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Timberwolves	47c	1,011$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.73	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Nuggets	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Nuggets	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Nuggets	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	176	37.5%66 W · 110 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Timberwolves	51c	977.23$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.23	216	57.9%125 W · 91 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee5…83d6backed Nuggets	52c	964.65$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Nuggets	52c	961.54$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	135	47.4%64 W · 71 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Timberwolves	42c	941$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.55	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nuggets	17c	932$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.8	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Nuggets	58c	862.07$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	160	50%80 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Timberwolves	48c	833.44$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.44	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Nuggets	54c	821.18$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.44	920	58%534 W · 386 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Timberwolves	43c	819.79$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.28	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	43c	797.93$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.82	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves	49c	787.51$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.45	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Nuggets	54c	764.72$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Timberwolves	69c	718.78$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.21	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Nuggets	52c	709.22$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ada…c921backed Nuggets	16c	666$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.9	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed Nuggets	59c	661.02$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Nuggets	50c	655.12$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.56	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves	47c	638.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.3	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Nuggets	16c	630$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.42	130	36.2%47 W · 83 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Nuggets	54c	629.62$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.99	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Nuggets	57c	614.04$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Timberwolves	45c	614$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.7	91	56%51 W · 40 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves	61c	586.89$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.35	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves	42c	584.06$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.75	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Nuggets	57c	578.95$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	-5.9wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Timberwolves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event