NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea70fa943682b9f5d7cbd9ff4a9e59e7fcebb1843230ffbb9b218f1006e660ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 50c | 102,567$51,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,024.19 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Nuggets | 50c | 69,516$34,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,621.06 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Nuggets | 48c | 26,926$12,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,924.36 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Nuggets | 50c | 15,744$7,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,870.88 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Timberwolves | 53c | 10,474$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922.78 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Nuggets | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nuggets | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 47c | 4,269$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.52 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Timberwolves | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,841$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.13 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…09afbacked Nuggets | 1c | 2,113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Nuggets | 8c | 2,035$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,896$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.06 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,697$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.5 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Nuggets | 39c | 1,666$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.96 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Nuggets | 7c | 1,617$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nuggets | 9c | 1,369$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,315$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.29 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,183$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.28 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…8f10backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,183$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 51c | 958.52$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.35 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Nuggets | 25c | 910.46$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 47c | 893.95$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.16 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Nuggets | 4c | 877.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 746$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Timberwolves | 50c | 726$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Timberwolves | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Nuggets | 9c | 655$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Nuggets | 52c | 601.81$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 593.37$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Nuggets | 51c | 588.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.25 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Timberwolves | 70c | 578.17$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Timberwolves | 54c | 569$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nuggets | 53c | 445.23$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 391.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Timberwolves | 76c | 386.38$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 386.36$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 328.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 327$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…adc5backed Timberwolves | 75c | 299.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 39c | 278.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Timberwolves | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…7404backed Timberwolves | 77c | 240.26$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nuggets | 46c | 228.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Timberwolves | 51c | 221.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…924fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Timberwolves | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…24efbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Timberwolves | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Nuggets | 21c | 176.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd474…5edebacked Nuggets | 23c | 161.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 156.64$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Nuggets | 49c | 156.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Timberwolves | 51c | 140.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nuggets | 47c | 138.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 112.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Timberwolves | 52c | 108.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Nuggets | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…2eaebacked Nuggets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Nuggets | 50c | 95.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…16f3backed Nuggets | 50c | 95.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Nuggets | 49c | 81.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Timberwolves | 79c | 66.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Nuggets | 47c | 63.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Timberwolves | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…f684backed Timberwolves | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 54.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…4fe3backed Timberwolves | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 51.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Timberwolves | 79c | 51.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 47.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Nuggets | 49c | 46.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…c006backed Timberwolves | 79c | 46.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c916backed Nuggets | 49c | 40.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked Timberwolves | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Nuggets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…9dafbacked Nuggets | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Timberwolves | 51c | 38.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Timberwolves | 50c | 37.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…af68backed Timberwolves | 57c | 35.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…1868backed Timberwolves | 77c | 34.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed Timberwolves | 51c | 34.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Nuggets | 49c | 33.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Nuggets | 49c | 31.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…f8fdbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 27.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.