TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1333…e463

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT4438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,579.31
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,084.05
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,000
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,349.94
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,932Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,932.24
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$15,366.51
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$863Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.92
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$925.47
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,621.06
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78,190.46
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,904.23
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47,923.38
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39,833.54
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20,930Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$23,601.54
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10,800.35
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$202.74
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,175.16
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050.6
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,654Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,654.06
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,849Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,848.57
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,865.92
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36,433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$29,808.42
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9,035.11
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$301.8
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,266.76
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,763Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$949.13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,774Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50.6%+$3,426
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,882Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$2,193.41
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$117.6
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$76.14
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,088Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+65.8%+$2,688.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-61.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,808.81
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,697.9
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$5,591.08
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25,205.24
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.5%+$154.11
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15,968Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15,967.6
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,429.62
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.1%+$2,027.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.69
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132,602.72
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60,074Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$47,200.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,124.41
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,599.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,724.42
Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,478.67
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.