Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Varvara Gracheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc657cfb226c16af24af1ab8708426844946b153ba9cd32c82f1fa0a40d2f48b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grachevaof Frech, Gracheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd50f…0017backed Frech | 43c | 37,323$16,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,048.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…75a4backed Gracheva | 57c | 19,492$11,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,381.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37e…c729backed Gracheva | 57c | 17,814$10,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,660.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Frech | 43c | 17,081$7,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,404.7 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Gracheva | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Gracheva | 58c | 9,643$5,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.87 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Frech | 39c | 4,115$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.01 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Frech | 53c | 3,281$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.47 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Frech | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Gracheva | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Gracheva | 60c | 2,493$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.14 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Gracheva | 50c | 2,076$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.35 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gracheva | 63c | 1,862$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Frech | 41c | 1,841$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.38 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Frech | 42c | 1,684$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.35 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Gracheva | 60c | 1,673$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.43 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Frech | 44c | 1,545$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.19 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Frech | 55c | 1,481$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Gracheva | 60c | 1,401$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.49 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gracheva | 51c | 1,119$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.48 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Frech | 41c | 1,057$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.84 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Gracheva | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Frech | 30c | 999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Frech | 19c | 995.41$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.13 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Frech | 44c | 917.58$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Gracheva | 57c | 825.72$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.54 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Frech | 44c | 800$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Gracheva | 58c | 797.3$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.38 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Gracheva | 57c | 675.68$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.68 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Frech | 40c | 633.94$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.61 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…85ccbacked Gracheva | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Frech | 41c | 565.85$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Gracheva | 70c | 546.66$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Frech | 44c | 542.86$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.86 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Gracheva | 49c | 534.18$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.43 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Gracheva | 58c | 513.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.98 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gracheva | 75c | 509.21$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Frech | 43c | 500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…761abacked Gracheva | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Gracheva | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Frech | 50c | 457.17$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.62 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…132fbacked Gracheva | 54c | 425.52$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Frech | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Gracheva | 56c | 393.38$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.38 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Frech | 42c | 383.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Gracheva | 47c | 382.06$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Frech | 48c | 380.43$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Frech | 41c | 350$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…3f6fbacked Gracheva | 57c | 342.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Gracheva | 70c | 319.21$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Frech | 41c | 299.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Frech | 17c | 284$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Gracheva | 52c | 267$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.94 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Frech | 43c | 257.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Gracheva | 59c | 252.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Gracheva | 47c | 247.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f6…2f6bbacked Frech | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Frech | 47c | 241.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Frech | 41c | 236.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…ad70backed Frech | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Gracheva | 65c | 231.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Frech | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…a87abacked Frech | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Gracheva | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Frech | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Frech | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Frech | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Frech | 38c | 196.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Gracheva | 48c | 190.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Gracheva | 44c | 171.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Frech | 44c | 167.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…27d0backed Frech | 39c | 165.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gracheva | 58c | 164.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Gracheva | 60c | 162.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Frech | 44c | 155.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…dfdbbacked Frech | 44c | 143.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Gracheva | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Gracheva | 66c | 128.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Gracheva | 57c | 119.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Gracheva | 37c | 118.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Frech | 53c | 115.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Gracheva | 50c | 112.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Frech | 45c | 112.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Frech | 42c | 108.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Frech | 42c | 108.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Gracheva | 49c | 102.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Gracheva | 46c | 100.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Gracheva | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Frech | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Frech | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Frech | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Gracheva | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Gracheva | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Frech | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…916abacked Gracheva | 59c | 99.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Frech | 35c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Frech | 32c | 96.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…9359backed Gracheva | 56c | 92.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Gracheva | 38c | 91.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Frech | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Varvara Grachevathis page
- Set Handicap: Gracheva (-1.5) vs Frech (+1.5)Frech won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.