TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc1a…9359

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10336.9%38 W · 65 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$38.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Pierluigi Basile · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Mayar Sherifbacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Lilli Tagger vs Suzan Lamensbacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Mauthausen: Jaime Faria vs Roman Safiullinbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$62.77
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+251.6%+$128.31
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.63
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensikbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+91%+$66.32
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.19
Madrid Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Blockxbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.03
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$63.82
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.77
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$42
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.43
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$19.05
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$18.89
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.97
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$68.47
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.31
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+191%+$38.2
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+161.3%+$20.97
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+138%+$48.29
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+123.3%+$13.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.