NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e01517e5aa1de0cfc940a646fdd58bbb5224b83789ef6da1ab25cdae10884a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Maple Leafs, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,154,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,192,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,154,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 608 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 279,419$102,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,267.5 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 65c | 214,128$139,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,874.95 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 99,739$35,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,011.49 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Senators | 63c | 50,174$31,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,422.95 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 46,481$16,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,688.58 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…b67fbacked Senators | 64c | 38,185$24,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,746.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 63c | 31,536$19,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,682.3 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 64c | 24,673$15,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,973.27 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 22,760$8,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,193.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 63c | 22,000$13,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,140.01 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 21,034$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Senators | 64c | 20,131$12,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,247.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Senators | 64c | 15,625$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.74 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Senators | 63c | 13,910$8,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,146.78 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 13,800$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 12,529$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 12,123$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.04 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 11,835$4,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.22 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 11,210$3,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,514.47 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Senators | 63c | 11,119$7,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.03 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 66c | 11,000$7,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.99 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Senators | 63c | 9,311$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Senators | 64c | 9,251$5,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.29 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Senators | 63c | 9,042$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.33 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 78c | 8,468$6,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.41 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Senators | 65c | 8,423$5,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.05 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Senators | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Senators | 66c | 7,724$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.51 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…4730backed Senators | 64c | 7,031$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 7,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…9dcabacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 6,973$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…0b30backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 6,924$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 6,620$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 6,552$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.97 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Senators | 63c | 6,552$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.24 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Senators | 63c | 6,000$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Senators | 64c | 6,000$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.99 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…1ff7backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 63c | 5,663$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.86 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Senators | 63c | 5,397$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.83 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 65c | 4,883$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.08 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 4,877$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.27 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 4,870$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.04 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Senators | 63c | 4,658$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.56 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Senators | 63c | 4,654$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.16 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Senators | 64c | 4,045$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.3 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 65c | 4,009$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.16 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Senators | 68c | 3,932$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.79 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Senators | 63c | 3,911$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.77 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 3,875$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 3,676$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.8 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 3,483$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 49c | 3,293$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.76 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 75c | 3,288$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.38 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Senators | 61c | 3,145$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.51 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…288ebacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 3,110$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Senators | 65c | 3,099$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 3,080$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.8 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 3,061$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.72 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Senators | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Senators | 64c | 2,909$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.18 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Maple Leafs | 29c | 2,845$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.06 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Senators | 64c | 2,781$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.25 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Maple Leafs | 15c | 2,670$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.5 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,610$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Senators | 62c | 2,608$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.04 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f4…e161backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 2,559$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Senators | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Senators | 63c | 2,382$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Senators | 65c | 2,260$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Senators | 64c | 2,222$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.31 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 2,144$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Senators | 63c | 2,139$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.41 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Senators | 63c | 2,100$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 2,060$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Senators | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.95 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 68c | 1,845$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.16 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,804$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.6 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Senators | 64c | 1,789$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Senators | 62c | 1,739$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.98 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Senators | 65c | 1,704$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.46 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…e110backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,681$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Senators | 64c | 1,670$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.26 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,664$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.06 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Senators | 64c | 1,450$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Senators | 64c | 1,392$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.19 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Senators | 64c | 1,343$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.48 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,337$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.55 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,300$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Senators | 71c | 1,202$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.43 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 3.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-2.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.