TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8101…e7be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: World Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+67%+$1,409.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,820.79
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$710
Will Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.44
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$128.44
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$279.99
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$308.33
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$125.23
Will Oxford United FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$41.47
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$16.38
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.57
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.11
All 22 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+54.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.7
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.59
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.23
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$310
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.95
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.76
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+376.6%+$1,119.13
Will Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.88
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$250
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,942Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,654.62
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,300
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,360
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,760
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.65
LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs NRG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$40.4
LoL: Maryville University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.97
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Apex Mission Impossible · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+395.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+3,746.2%+$924.33
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,590Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$3,410
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,206.22
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,575Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,283.73
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,160
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,080
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,040
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,718Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$845.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,750
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.65
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.23
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$132
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.86
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.23
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.53
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,360
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,742Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,425.39
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$2,012.07
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$2,743.49
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Counter-Strike: eLITenergy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs TNT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked TNT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.48
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$139.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+405.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid+44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,056Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+478%+$14,608.43
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,022.57
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,404.1
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$720.73
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+192.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,479.87
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.22
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,396.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$348
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.