TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: eLITenergy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
eLITenergyof eLITenergy, CSDIILIT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c8c…f2cebacked CSDIILIT58c3,444$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.333351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CSDIILIT53c3,341$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.127,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked eLITenergy50c2,486$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24375056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked eLITenergy62c2,324$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.673,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5407…251cbacked eLITenergy49c2,198$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.9514857.4%85 W · 63 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked eLITenergy60c2,067$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.862,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed eLITenergy34c2,048$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.249646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed eLITenergy33c1,700$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.226,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b36…b82ebacked CSDIILIT44c1,159$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.751533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x883a…73b0backed eLITenergy51c1,061$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.4511054.5%60 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked CSDIILIT2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked eLITenergy45c853.64$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.9436253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed CSDIILIT58c723.59$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1746344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed CSDIILIT55c626.24$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.041,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CSDIILIT53c596.87$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.345,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed CSDIILIT53c583.9$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.044,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed CSDIILIT23c580.88$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.215,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed eLITenergy43c551.65$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.92,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed eLITenergy49c519.8$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.2323245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed eLITenergy42c451.69$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4845465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked CSDIILIT65c392.73$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.542,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed eLITenergy48c348$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.282,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed eLITenergy54c335.92$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.915,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed CSDIILIT59c329.26$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9710426%27 W · 77 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed CSDIILIT54c313.7$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1647053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed CSDIILIT55c312.61$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5727443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed eLITenergy17c309.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8138835.8%139 W · 249 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed CSDIILIT59c307.66$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0124747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed CSDIILIT62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864827.1%13 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed CSDIILIT53c295.54$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.644,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked CSDIILIT45c251.02$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.961,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked CSDIILIT52c241.68$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0726257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed CSDIILIT47c237$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3933237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked eLITenergy46c219.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2540635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked eLITenergy27c219.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9415935.2%56 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed CSDIILIT61c219.09$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7778043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked CSDIILIT55c215.8$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6923858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed eLITenergy27c211.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.498838.6%34 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed eLITenergy27c207.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.672,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked CSDIILIT52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed eLITenergy53c197.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.645244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed CSDIILIT36c187.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.892,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked CSDIILIT56c175.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6538858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed CSDIILIT70c174$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.89540%38 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed eLITenergy48c157.6$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9533044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6d5…7c98backed CSDIILIT66c149.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.652653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked CSDIILIT55c144.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2615355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x444a…f8cfbacked CSDIILIT66c137.2$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked CSDIILIT24c135.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.013,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed CSDIILIT78c127.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9621867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked CSDIILIT49c118.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9912449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed eLITenergy36c117.42$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.661,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked eLITenergy45c114$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2929555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked eLITenergy45c112.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9195642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked CSDIILIT45c112.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.077744.2%34 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked CSDIILIT53c103.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6619055.8%106 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked CSDIILIT47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478051.3%41 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed CSDIILIT50c98.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.251,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed CSDIILIT30c98.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3528434.9%99 W · 185 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ca5…9343backed CSDIILIT53c93.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6b…a179backed eLITenergy55c89.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.695349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked eLITenergy55c89.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6627754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CSDIILIT47c88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.361,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed eLITenergy44c86.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.782,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked eLITenergy52c84.88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0135752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed CSDIILIT58c81.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7495849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed CSDIILIT50c80.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2933451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea37…94f3backed eLITenergy51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.532951.7%170 W · 159 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed CSDIILIT48c76.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.921,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed CSDIILIT65c73.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.42,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5639…90fbbacked eLITenergy42c62.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.191560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed eLITenergy51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked CSDIILIT47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.42,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked eLITenergy25c59.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e0…cf2dbacked eLITenergy49c54.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.964852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked CSDIILIT56c53.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9915352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8932…1cc4backed CSDIILIT54c52.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.617751.9%40 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd711…749cbacked eLITenergy49c46.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.511655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed CSDIILIT51c44.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6752951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed eLITenergy52c41.37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6916946.7%79 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed CSDIILIT40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81fc…f616backed CSDIILIT62c39.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.425164.7%33 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked eLITenergy54c39.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.123,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked CSDIILIT53c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4836334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8821…32c6backed CSDIILIT58c38.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…bcabbacked eLITenergy52c37.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.185052%26 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed CSDIILIT67c36.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.674969.4%34 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc874…54a3backed CSDIILIT50c33.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c6d…f6d2backed eLITenergy31c32.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.594100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+133.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed CSDIILIT47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0457935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked CSDIILIT65c30.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0211057.3%63 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked CSDIILIT54c30.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4436151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed CSDIILIT66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.864439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked eLITenergy51c29.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.621,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed eLITenergy42c27.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1673948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed eLITenergy51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.345224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe9a9…7876backed eLITenergy51c23.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed CSDIILIT50c22.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1211230.4%34 W · 78 L-16.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked eLITenergy49c21.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7715160.9%92 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked CSDIILIT79c19.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.