TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b36…b82e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+60%+$69.44
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$682.62
Counter-Strike: eLITenergy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.75
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$48.4
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.69
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs RUSTEC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+171.1%+$282.88
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.49
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Counter-Strike: Omega vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.39
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$92.71
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs ReThink (BO3) - Journey Group Dbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.44
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - Journey Group Dbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.69
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Monte (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miyazaki: Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$846.37
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Stefan Haita vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$162.87
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Michalskibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$20.29
Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.69
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+176.5%+$2,478.24
Split: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.28
Split: Tom Gentzsch vs Filippo Romanobacked Filippo Romano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.7
Alicante: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$230.95
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$21.58
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$254.13
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.