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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Omega vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
megoshortof Omega, megoshort
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,210 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e0e…ad94backed Omega55c2,176$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8cb…1f21backed Omega46c2,083$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9651861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Omega48c2,063$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked megoshort46c2,016$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.6584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked megoshort65c1,835$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.243,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Omega35c1,583$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5481,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd80c…d40cbacked Omega45c1,336$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed megoshort46c1,230$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.676845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked megoshort49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.3727452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed megoshort53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47044855.6%249 W · 199 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked megoshort46c960.22$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.5210945%49 W · 60 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort62c934.09$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.636,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort69c834.31$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.528,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Omega54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4329554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Omega27c707.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.735,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc667…e68dbacked Omega25c670.14$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.093231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b36…b82ebacked Omega41c667$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.391533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed megoshort46c664.78$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.9839646%182 W · 214 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked megoshort65c648.14$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.843,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Omega36c646$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.4829647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed megoshort46c550$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.25,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Omega33c543.52$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.882,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Omega58c520.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027559.3%163 W · 112 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Omega47c513.48$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.764951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed megoshort44c481.83$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8246443.1%200 W · 264 L+1.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Omega45c445.25$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.364,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Omega50c445$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0733044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Omega54c388.49$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7810952.3%57 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Omega46c385$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2349745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Omega36c370.84$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.9955950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed megoshort45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3315544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Omega41c331$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.124747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…2224backed megoshort45c329.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.498644.2%38 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed megoshort46c327.89$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.0638939.3%153 W · 236 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed megoshort43c324$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6860451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fff…3a96backed megoshort46c301.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.862944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Omega54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16232844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed megoshort31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20758651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked megoshort47c299.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Omega13c299.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9839239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked megoshort46c296.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.331,74047%817 W · 923 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Omega52c290.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Omega7c290.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.912,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Omega44c290.29$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7322542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked megoshort68c281.04$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1862738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Omega9c274.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.021,61329.6%478 W · 1,135 L-90.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Omega22c254$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0346843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Omega34c250.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6748319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1a1e…ad54backed Omega7c247.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28bc…efbebacked Omega58c244$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Omega24c224.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.152,47244.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L-68.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Omega55c223.83$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1136544.7%163 W · 202 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Omega9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d0e…13aabacked Omega34c222.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5515638.5%60 W · 96 L-19.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Omega54c212.35$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5887244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed megoshort45c211.11$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1125147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked megoshort67c204.65$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.558855.7%49 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Omega47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9476546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Omega42c196$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8654346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Omega55c184.19$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.815358.2%89 W · 64 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Omega39c171.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2952951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Omega48c162.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.134748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Omega26c159.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.752,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe014…88c4backed megoshort47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked megoshort72c137$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2138858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Omega32c133.62$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.146848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed megoshort70c130.78$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.841,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked megoshort65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4212469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed megoshort52c119$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1245639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed megoshort46c118.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7862054.8%340 W · 280 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Omega43c118$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3738942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked megoshort61c116.19$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.327744.2%34 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed megoshort44c114.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.391,09637.6%412 W · 684 L+34.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed megoshort70c113.08$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3526958.4%157 W · 112 L+20.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed megoshort58c112.42$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8354355.2%300 W · 243 L+18.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed megoshort45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1145443.4%197 W · 257 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked megoshort46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.727754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed megoshort70c103.31$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5747053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed megoshort45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5540247.8%192 W · 210 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Omega50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9616946.7%79 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Omega55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed megoshort43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5711543.5%50 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Omega54c99.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8854032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed megoshort66c97.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Omega29c93.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.191,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc45…2957backed Omega54c92.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed megoshort45c88.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.714436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed megoshort66c88.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5552755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked megoshort78c85.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7119540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed megoshort41c83.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0615141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe725…7005backed megoshort73c76.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2003…3a6bbacked Omega32c75.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2610131.7%32 W · 69 L-21.3wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Omega35c72.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.163943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f0…6a27backed megoshort68c70.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.782653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7d9…c1d9backed Omega56c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Omega16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016150.3%81 W · 80 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a39…fa93backed megoshort72c62.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.493259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6db…fc65backed megoshort56c62.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Omega33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,10031.7%349 W · 751 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked Omega58c58.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.932748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.