TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc45…2957

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT4862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Janice Tjen vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Gwangju: James McCabe vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$46.97
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$79.97
Santa Cruz: Pedro Sakamoto vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
Tallahassee: Alex Rybakov vs Pedro Boscardin Diasbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$45.9
Tallahassee: Garrett Johns vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.42
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.48
Tallahassee: Darwin Blanch vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Santa Cruz: Santiago De La Fuente vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Santiago De La Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
Oeiras 3: Katarzyna Kawa vs Simona Waltertbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.77
Tallahassee: Clement Tabur vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$74.45
Oeiras 3: Robin Montgomery vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.59
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.04
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Adam Waltonbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.68
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
San Luis Potosi: Robin Catry vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.51
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Gabriel Ghetu vs Jay Clarkebacked Gabriel Ghetu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Split: Matej Dodig vs Mili Poljicakbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dubrovnik: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Naples: Matteo Martineau vs Michele Ribecaibacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$44.38
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Bucaramanga: Johan Nikles vs Benjamin Torrealbabacked Johan Nikles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Sao Paulo: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.02
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.07
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$23.25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$14.06
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or below on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$17.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$13.47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$6.57
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$13.26
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$67.86
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$25.01
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.08
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.25
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+158.5%+$113.42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+156.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.84
Will Brazil beat Venezuela?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+284.6%+$740
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Egypt win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$43.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+381.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabag beat Bodo Glimt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+381.8%+$190.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. BC Dubaibacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$63.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $NEIRO be listed first on Binance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF América vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Omega vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)backed Central Coast Mariners FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.