TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will South Africa win on 2026-03-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes23c14,043$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.735952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c7,891$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.5635942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c7,207$5,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.2274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No57c6,189$3,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.9137144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c6,023$4,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes32c4,702$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c4,358$3,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.3176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes44c3,420$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.810234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8768…8b58backed Yes19c2,600$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49450%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes20c2,440$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes28c1,839$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.924,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes37c1,823$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.3522634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes19c1,200$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.31926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes34c1,029$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No54c995.14$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.7629646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes26c984.4$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2516341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffec…af34backed Yes41c864.42$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.41333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9308…cafebacked No59c864.42$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Yes30c823.26$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c698.83$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.114,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No62c665.66$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0846536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No79c641.46$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed Yes46c566.93$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-75.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a01…caa0backed Yes18c542.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c537$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8517338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c521.56$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5228754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9920044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010956.9%62 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes35c399$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.616347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes39c385.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.017236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes19c356.17$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13211951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c268.44$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.83,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No57c259.94$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1336850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No70c256.04$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.481,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes40c245$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes42c236.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9132855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes43c230.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005635.7%20 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes39c224.38$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.511,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf375…f105backed Yes45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes32c209.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1642043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes41c195.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes38c177.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4288838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c174.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.533,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No55c162.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.911060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes39c160.97$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7840736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c148.41$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.781,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes42c144.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.582835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes24c142$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.83240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db0…a3b6backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No72c138.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0824653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No74c137.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.323749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab7…d144backed Yes24c133.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes43c121.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.29254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc45…2957backed Yes42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508169.1%56 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Yes44c113.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.954235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes38c113.32$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4614047.9%67 W · 73 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No55c106.07$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7311658.6%68 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e26…b560backed Yes33c103.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.211833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4422650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911256.3%63 W · 49 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114d…661fbacked No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184045%18 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No60c99.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.610863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes33c99.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2216116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes41c97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.77944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes43c93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.994847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405641.1%23 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes40c86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.425948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes24c83.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes40c81.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5927745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes38c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.591,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Yes39c76.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d1d…3f8dbacked Yes42c72.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.13151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes43c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.14946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No58c66.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0216755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes43c65.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.092,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes39c62.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2810153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…d6c6backed Yes39c60.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.571225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44e4…f624backed Yes43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-60.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba6…8903backed Yes33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255139.2%20 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5da5…597ebacked Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252040%8 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes40c55.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797e…fc29backed Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252313%3 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-68.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x166f…1826backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes41c53.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.872,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked No74c52.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.567052.9%37 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.