Fifa International · resolved market
Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f64f8cccc91180465473eb15097ae21f6ce0074cca48db6defefe29c02226b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 25,226$10,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,084.03 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…ed13backed Yes | 79c | 15,862$12,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 48c | 11,264$5,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.31 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 3,220$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked No | 50c | 2,322$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…cbe3backed No | 57c | 2,073$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 1,906$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.8 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 1,756$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.84 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 1,212$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.1 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 62c | 917.52$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.06 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 62c | 915.62$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.31 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 756.23$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.81 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 28c | 535.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.72 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 60c | 495.89$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.23 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 432.69$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 63c | 349.37$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 25c | 302.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 30c | 299.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 48c | 290.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 255.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 251.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 65c | 251.8$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 42c | 242.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…262ebacked No | 10c | 238.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 60c | 233.41$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…622fbacked Yes | 70c | 214.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Yes | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 70c | 188.17$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 40c | 182.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 30c | 166$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked No | 51c | 151$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 56c | 143.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 130.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 127.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Yes | 63c | 124.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 72c | 121$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed No | 51c | 116.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 114.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes | 44c | 113.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 30c | 111$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 33c | 109.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 42c | 100.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 92.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked No | 50c | 90.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 82.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…b560backed Yes | 29c | 68.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723a…583fbacked No | 49c | 64.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Yes | 63c | 56.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked No | 51c | 55.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 42c | 54.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Yes | 63c | 52.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 70c | 52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 31c | 51.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 50.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed No | 50c | 47.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Yes | 63c | 46.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 43.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 29c | 43.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…0d49backed No | 51c | 41.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed No | 50c | 39.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 72c | 32.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed No | 34c | 32.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…0dc1backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…84f1backed Yes | 75c | 29.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 41c | 27.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed No | 47c | 25.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 49c | 21.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…e874backed Yes | 78c | 21.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…59a0backed Yes | 63c | 21.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…c634backed Yes | 80c | 20.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Yes | 63c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 330 | 59.1%195 W · 135 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…4691backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5390…1649backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…e9babacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Yes | 63c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Yes | 63c | 17.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 16.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…1826backed Yes | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcde…5222backed No | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?this page
- Will Panama win on 2026-03-27?No won
- Will South Africa win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.