TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2363…4691

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Menorca: Valentin Royer vs Edas Butvilasbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.05
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Bolt vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
Bucaramanga: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadellibacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$5.66
Alicante: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Edas Butvilasbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
Alicante: Roman Safiullin vs Max Houkesbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
Bucaramanga: Peter Bertran vs Matias Sotobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Split: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Miami Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
Split: Josip Simundza vs Eliakim Coulibalybacked Josip Simundza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Alicante: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Max Houkesbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bucaramanga: Frazier Rengifo vs Carlos Maria Zaratebacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.58
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Timofey Skatovbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Miami Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$4.7
Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$11.54
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$18.16
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Como 1907 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$31.45
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$11.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa vs. Panama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$10.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.