TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,794 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No47c100,397$46,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,980.3218352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Yes52c54,496$28,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,233.464544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes52c38,047$19,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,115.188,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No47c30,548$14,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,231.593151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes54c27,992$14,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,995.1723354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c20,513$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,563.213,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes52c19,193$10,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,123.42055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes53c9,066$4,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,237.5639853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes20c7,982$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,347.4814443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c7,519$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.685,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No47c7,500$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5252263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed No50c7,083$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No48c7,000$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3255259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No66c6,005$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.821,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No46c5,965$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,772.1637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No50c5,320$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6607556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No49c4,445$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1946546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No48c4,299$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.276055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed No50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked No4c3,902$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.752343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No5c3,755$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.758444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes53c3,741$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.2647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes41c3,185$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.9921251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No48c3,000$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4252245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes42c2,396$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.961540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe39…461ebacked Yes53c2,230$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed No50c1,857$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes50c1,857$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.53171%22 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No48c1,788$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.2422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72011459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes53c1,357$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.6520953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No48c1,275$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61212757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No48c1,000$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4754153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes52c924.55$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.783360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes54c909$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.011,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No65c828.09$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.7818338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed No7c747.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-79.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes31c740.62$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.4614022.1%31 W · 109 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3154953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes39c682.38$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.9228231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c598.67$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.592,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes54c597.14$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.591,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked No47c530$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No47c524.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.755160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No47c480$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.63857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes54c472.42$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.621,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Yes56c462.68$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c447.58$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.711,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No55c431.79$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.721,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes54c425.82$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.361,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes36c394.07$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.076838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes53c390.2$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No48c350$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.257856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.57153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No46c298.4$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7823542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No47c298$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0630754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.789956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12019460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No47c248.8$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.057055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes51c247.76$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.431745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No46c247.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.79953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes54c245.85$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.092347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No47c241.56$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5323551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No48c240$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11413557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes43c222$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.985442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes53c208.53$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.131353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…8c31backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10472.1%1 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes32c199.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.993043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Yes52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No77c189.97$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7815651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes53c187.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3211664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes19c182$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8210146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.64163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No44c179.93$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1755155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.53458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No46c147.75$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9713050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes53c146.72$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2781740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.26558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.23759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x678e…1f95backed Yes55c136.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No45c135.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8533745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919f…bfbebacked Yes68c126.88$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Yes17c126.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.01825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No46c125$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.457745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed No48c122$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.952360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.