South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf0c9f16c60669947a30af308a0e68c50757ee0cca2202a8c77637a7d610118f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,965 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 17c | 14,999$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.83 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 6c | 9,716$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.25 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 18c | 3,916$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,094$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 19c | 1,050$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 16c | 946$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.26 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed Yes | 16c | 529.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 17c | 269.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 17c | 220.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…29b2backed Yes | 16c | 218.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 14c | 214.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 176.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 18c | 165$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 16c | 139$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 128.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 16c | 120.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Yes | 17c | 118.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…669fbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 15c | 97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 15c | 87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Platense end in a draw?No won
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.