South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Platense end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b2eef588305b82c3d4433bf7a94b15ae63c81f62cdc407def7177b84e39a246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,671 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 3,620$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…2068backed Yes | 70c | 1,572$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 1,156$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.58 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 63c | 1,035$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.23 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 918.49$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 80c | 862.46$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.71 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 585.4$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 30c | 540$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed Yes | 30c | 530$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 17c | 472.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 42c | 344.84$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 12c | 338.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 329.69$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 17c | 295.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…29b2backed Yes | 30c | 237.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 32c | 205$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 70c | 185.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 24c | 183.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.77 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 180.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked No | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 71c | 145.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 72c | 141.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.79 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 120.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 34c | 116.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 30c | 115.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 41c | 113.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 70c | 109$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 69c | 97.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 89.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 80.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 62c | 78.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 73.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…bfcabacked No | 21c | 71.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 58c | 70.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 70.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked No | 22c | 67.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 18c | 65.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 60.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 59.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed No | 24c | 57.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 35c | 56.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 67c | 50.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Yes | 63c | 37.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…227dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 31c | 33.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 58c | 30.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Platense end in a draw?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.