TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda70…66b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3770.3%26 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.69
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$70.1
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.35
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.07
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$201.54
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$243.74
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.22
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.8
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$240.31
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$78.01
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$230.19
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$34.8
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.47
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.29
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$249.45
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$796.95
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.28
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$876.23
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,318Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$587.59
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$110.62
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$34.84
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$169.99
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.29
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$94.42
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,826Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$820.42
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$200.49
Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$78.48
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.15
Will Mirassol FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.67
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$122.06
Will CA Juventud vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$569.45
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$29.77
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$79.27
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$33.1
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.93
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.58
Will Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$52.23
Will Fluminense FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$69.17
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$232.44
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.86
Will CA Platense win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.72
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Platense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.36
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.49
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.45
SE Palmeiras vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$70.29
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$71.54
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.81
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+553.6%+$553.6
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$627.99
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$723.39
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.97
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.12
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.66
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$670.79
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.23
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.38
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.68
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$139.95
Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$283.23
Will Colombia vs. France end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$210.38
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$70.31
Will England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.64
Will Norway win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$51.1
Will Brazil vs. France end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$45.97
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.68
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.49
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$408.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.52
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$125.37
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.36
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.71
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$40.39
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$247.38
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$246.04
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$241.28
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$171.72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$669Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$273.15
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.16
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.42
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.92
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$168.12
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$227.76
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$115.58
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.51
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$239.85
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$248.04
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$188.23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.03
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.56
Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$188.75
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$28.63
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39.7
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$101.21
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$121.7
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$14.33
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$69.65
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+67.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$39.24
Will Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$58.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.98
Will Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$281.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick73cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Cadenassobacked Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15.33
Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+203%+$73.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.