TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes20c15,088$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.423452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Yes32c8,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-76.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c7,592$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.382,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No79c6,097$4,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.211,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x034b…b22bbacked No77c5,751$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.651457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes22c5,185$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.7716050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes25c4,776$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1941915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No77c4,676$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.493881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No75c3,667$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.6551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c3,522$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.151,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c2,933$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.041,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.92286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+52.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7086…43aabacked Yes26c2,802$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked No75c2,737$2,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes15c2,726$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c2,440$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.061,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes24c2,330$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.221253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes23c2,222$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.064040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes24c2,136$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.5556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c2,123$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.0375850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No76c2,106$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.533971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes2c2,086$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.622040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No76c2,005$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.2785048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes16c1,825$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2510827.8%30 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed Yes16c1,438$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304731.9%15 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed No77c1,427$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.271369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Yes19c1,263$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes23c1,241$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4213151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No77c1,221$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes24c1,170$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.87847.4%37 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes24c1,150$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2766233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes25c1,000$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.136829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ff…013abacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102060%12 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No77c990.25$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.761968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked Yes24c969$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.56875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes10c961.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c784.99$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes18c754.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.825862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes24c687.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No74c668$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9425052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c659$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb1…3272backed Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes19c550$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.54143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked Yes21c549.62$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.422450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No77c523.66$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.444369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes24c510.32$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4811232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb441…89a1backed Yes24c508.33$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39b…eb0dbacked No77c501.4$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.32955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes11c480$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.928736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No77c417.23$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.962763%17 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes17c410$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes23c390.74$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes8c387.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.959534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa628…b0bdbacked Yes20c374.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes9c352.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.528633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90a7…9e54backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1054…0f98backed Yes23c316.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x807d…76dcbacked Yes24c298$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.521338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes24c286.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8215461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked No78c262.55$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.541250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes13c261.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3413834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae86…a294backed Yes12c259$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.211250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…b795backed Yes16c248.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7802…fa6bbacked No76c242.85$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes27c221.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.871020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes12c189.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Yes25c188$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No77c187.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.081384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick75cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes23c174$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0213939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No77c166.81$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7832453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No75c161.7$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.425442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Yes12c149.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d2…1534backed Yes24c133$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b74…8b14backed No78c120.67$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…9fc9backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6d…2daabacked Yes9c116.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3390…b960backed No78c106.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No79c106$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7622458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed Yes20c105.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.893447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No77c104.7$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0836554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes15c100.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7551516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6a…e1babacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ea…98bdbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b8…c95bbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x503a…d7d3backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed No78c99.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No79c99.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.986055%33 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes24c97.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf268…1763backed Yes16c89.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.