TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36c8…2925

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$107.14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$431.67
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+67.6%+$109.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+54.6%+$58.46
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57%+$98.09
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$328.27
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37.7%+$41.46
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$4.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,805Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$1,175.95
Will Girona FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$105.21
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$95.06
Will Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.3%+$421.02
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$44.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$40.05
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$4.75
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$19
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$117.65
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$289.66
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$434.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$263.21
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$74.36
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$895
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Chris Rodeschbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$43.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.