TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,734 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over59c59,054$34,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,212.291850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under41c19,723$8,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,086.4537638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c17,290$6,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,621.061,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under41c5,617$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.871060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.72676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Under29c3,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under39c3,152$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.5562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under27c3,049$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.2871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over66c2,980$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under41c2,602$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.7824052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under31c2,250$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.6215048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over65c2,001$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.211968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd068…18f9backed Over67c1,703$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x638f…d9afbacked Over77c1,302$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under17c1,200$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over60c1,169$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5726660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under35c1,137$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.953141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under35c1,108$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+59.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under40c1,094$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.979152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c1,042$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.2187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under26c904.4$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.4848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over57c679$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.973759.5%22 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under27c499.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4927049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under30c481.02$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.844427.3%12 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.965461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.963557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over66c377.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.998254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under27c356.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2927748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over57c349.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.431764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Under29c286$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.941428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed Over74c271.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.29366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under33c254.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.712352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Under16c241.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.29922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.294052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over72c201.39$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.39887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under43c179.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under41c158$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.781723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-50.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick69cpaid-48.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over73c146.18$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over76c144.88$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.881573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over65c135.26$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.345100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf174…d052backed Under43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Under42c115.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6370%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfdec…7ad6backed Over66c113.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.35650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+86.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over65c99.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9924051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under41c99.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6712448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8f…2b46backed Over72c87.17$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.563100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.083447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over66c76.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…e04dbacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over71c73.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Under28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over72c69.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4426550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bb…d88fbacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick67cpaid-72.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over74c67.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.772850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.574864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under28c63.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4759348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over73c63.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.011560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Under33c61.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306f…01c7backed Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over71c55.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.185957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7910964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under27c51.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.925832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under27c49.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3714057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over71c47.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.834965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba2b…0c59backed Under34c47.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over72c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.66253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9379…f116backed Under35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddc…fc4cbacked Over73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Over73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef0…db6fbacked Under27c40.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under26c39.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49246.7%43 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under38c39.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.192152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005b…2947backed Over62c39.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea51…83a0backed Over65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over66c36.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.392825%7 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Under40c35.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over72c34.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.794969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc96…e37cbacked Over58c34.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.35757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over78c32.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.137869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over75c30.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.627244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Over73c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.141553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…27d6backed Under35c29.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cae…db7fbacked Over57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5654…3fa2backed Over64c23.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x923f…7a9dbacked Over74c22.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6795…4a4cbacked Over66c21.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.