Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfbfbe66e66c541b1f10dd123ed99ad837c6e236b91e5beb3333e7a3fd30727a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AS Monaco FCof AS Monaco FC, Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,320 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AS Monaco FC | 52c | 2,568$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.56 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 42c | 2,000$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 57c | 433.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked AS Monaco FC | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AS Monaco FC | 43c | 135.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 49c | 102.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 58c | 88.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed AS Monaco FC | 38c | 60.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed AS Monaco FC | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80c | 53.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed AS Monaco FC | 59c | 42.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…f6bfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 41c | 42.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed AS Monaco FC | 50c | 26.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.