Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9ccc13922973323f6b1d9a3cdc945dcf942cd94aa0f5421eefb036379b1d574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AS Monaco FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, AS Monaco FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,435 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed AS Monaco FC | 69c | 2,586$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.78 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 2,423$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.24 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 2,215$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.06 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…3c69backed AS Monaco FC | 74c | 2,023$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed AS Monaco FC | 69c | 1,002$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.77 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 870$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AS Monaco FC | 69c | 763.19$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed AS Monaco FC | 69c | 545.21$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 20c | 437.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed AS Monaco FC | 72c | 416$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 234.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 214.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 189.86$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed AS Monaco FC | 69c | 186.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 171.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 170.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 147.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…6115backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97b…0fb5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 29c | 133$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked AS Monaco FC | 68c | 114.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x968c…34bcbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 111$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…5bf9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 108$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed AS Monaco FC | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f7…3b79backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed AS Monaco FC | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 51.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…88dfbacked AS Monaco FC | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960f…56d2backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…becbbacked AS Monaco FC | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…84a2backed AS Monaco FC | 71c | 38.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4bb6backed AS Monaco FC | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 34.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…5b36backed AS Monaco FC | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a2…e35ebacked AS Monaco FC | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…6bffbacked AS Monaco FC | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…e74abacked AS Monaco FC | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed AS Monaco FC | 68c | 26.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…2d34backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…d8fcbacked AS Monaco FC | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…f88abacked AS Monaco FC | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed AS Monaco FC | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…c407backed AS Monaco FC | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d35backed AS Monaco FC | 70c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed AS Monaco FC | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…b229backed AS Monaco FC | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…ab5cbacked AS Monaco FC | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.