TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,979 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c91,013$48,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,195.231369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over52c67,989$35,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,338.115642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c56,846$26,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,175.6421144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c43,547$22,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,895.624459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over52c43,031$22,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,655.069858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Under48c42,600$20,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,551728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c33,395$16,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,113.0671140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c22,970$11,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,135.921,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over53c14,151$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,650.944139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under48c11,871$5,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,698757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under48c11,575$5,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,546.9921143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under47c9,918$4,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,677.952751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c8,399$3,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over53c8,393$4,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under47c7,500$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,540922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under48c6,938$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330.011127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under48c6,871$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2981435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under48c6,772$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c6,652$3,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1893231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked Under48c6,057$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,91020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8361…55fcbacked Under48c5,532$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c5,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over55c4,568$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.452356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under48c4,396$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1102544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.914057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e4…ca67backed Under49c3,653$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over51c3,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.951050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Under47c3,333$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.161888.9%16 W · 2 L+7.1wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+94.4%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under69c2,788$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.723759.5%22 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c2,559$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.3915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under47c2,157$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over52c2,083$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.691729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,009$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.7762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Over54c1,821$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under49c1,763$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under47c1,701$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.4712147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under46c1,500$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.996648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under59c1,460$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d6…bfd6backed Over52c1,177$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51760%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c1,093$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.068444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over52c1,078$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.449747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under47c953.19$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4481668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…997abacked Under49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…8974backed Under30c714.47$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under48c637.86$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.413961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c630.27$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under66c618.46$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over53c617.6$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.621070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4023138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over73c591.53$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.717755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over45c546.47$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c500$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6727049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over52c497.09$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over37c475.1$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.122744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over53c456.41$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.216368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c395.12$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8119055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c393.91$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0820150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over62c346.33$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5615048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over52c340.45$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.792035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…44bcbacked Under64c312.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13817756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1569145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under48c299.97$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Over52c288.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under48c258.28$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.992630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over51c245.29$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.292470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.210952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over52c232.65$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over52c213.46$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.463557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under48c203.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.374141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over52c200.56$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e6…5cb1backed Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0878…1374backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.