TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73e6…5cb1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$323.09
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$196.26
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$420.92
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$232
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$240.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.4%+$171.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$231.5
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$132.65
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$254.8
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$424
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$369.17
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$77.93
Northeastern Huskies vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$163.98
Idaho Vandals vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$88.31
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.43
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+52.5%+$12.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$198
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.25
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$636.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$109.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$136.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$127.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.