Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeef6efcd1dbd25c911020325cb230a387ceb6e610edd4ef4005413b38f71e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,420 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 56c | 64,366$36,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,321.24 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 23,455$9,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,897.02 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 57c | 13,158$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.07 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 10,429$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.52 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 9,558$4,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.67 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 6,839$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.01 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 5,799$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.65 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 44c | 5,108$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.97 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.98 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 57c | 2,397$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.13 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 46c | 2,368$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 56c | 2,089$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 1,758$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.86 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 2c | 1,606$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 64c | 1,400$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.5 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Under | 40c | 1,150$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 1,120$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 59c | 1,041$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.43 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 80c | 999.12$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.82 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 47c | 963.85$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Under | 7c | 808.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 45c | 767.53$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 40c | 751.66$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.66 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 41c | 741.68$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.47 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…a63ebacked Under | 8c | 722.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…b990backed Under | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 57c | 712$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Under | 41c | 683.9$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.05 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 57c | 666$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.73 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 629.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 43c | 618.16$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.81 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 42c | 522.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…c1b7backed Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Under | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 366.17$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.78 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0743…ba18backed Under | 41c | 361.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 56c | 357.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.31 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 57c | 350.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 57c | 349.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 43cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 347.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb4…8b4bbacked Over | 60c | 337.93$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 44c | 315.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 20c | 307.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Under | 44c | 307$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 45c | 306.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Over | 58c | 303.66$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 300.17$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 54c | 279.36$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 43c | 256.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…5cb1backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 247.51$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Under | 44c | 229.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 46c | 219.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 45c | 214.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 43c | 200.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 178.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 44c | 170.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 45c | 166.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…1ecfbacked Under | 42c | 165$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 44c | 164.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked Under | 43c | 158.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 43c | 153.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 58c | 144.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 44c | 141.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 57c | 137.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.