Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1e8d68a77ef7788347faff00f83aa5dbff76b6ef5d9ee87bb4148fc6cd34065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,755 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…b9f0backed Over | 78c | 22,716$17,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 17,624$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,973.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 67c | 11,037$7,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.21 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 23c | 9,277$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.02 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 23c | 8,444$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.37 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 8,235$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 77c | 3,897$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 3,077$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.12 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Over | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 2,053$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 78c | 1,461$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Over | 76c | 1,162$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…2b65backed Under | 30c | 1,089$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 980.46$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.24 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 77c | 932.7$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…d02abacked Over | 78c | 884.21$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 61c | 840$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 22c | 813.17$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 743.43$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 721.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.5 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 23c | 630.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 77c | 627.39$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Under | 23c | 617.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 28c | 611.23$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.73 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 78c | 513.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Under | 40c | 509$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Over | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Under | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…88c4backed Under | 23c | 349.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 319.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 34c | 294.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 252.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Over | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Over | 78c | 179.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 22c | 179.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…5705backed Under | 23c | 179.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 34c | 167.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 166.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 78c | 155.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 22c | 153.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 66c | 150.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 22c | 145.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…a968backed Over | 78c | 139.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 24c | 132.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 118.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Over | 78c | 116.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Over | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 36c | 96.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 78c | 96.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed Over | 79c | 92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4899…efe0backed Over | 79c | 89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 71c | 72.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 67.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Under | 25c | 59.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 24c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 30c | 46.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…0319backed Over | 60c | 44.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…bf04backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Under | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 30c | 34.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 70c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…3bafbacked Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…b151backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…710dbacked Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 72c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 73c | 13.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.