TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ae3…3401

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
336
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT27463.9%175 W · 99 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 274 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$5.21
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.76
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38%+$11.53
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$3.38
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$6.34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$5.99
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$8.65
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$6.46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$5.82
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$4.86
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$7.73
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.86
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+41%+$7.67
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$9.1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$7.9
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$8.11
Showing 25 of 274 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.47
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.55
Tulane Green Wave vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane (W)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$9.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$75.07
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.3
Kraken vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$14.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+105.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.7
D.C. United SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+283%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+283%+$160.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$63.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed Dems · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 4: Salas vs. Saracho (Welterweight, Main)backed Salas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$28.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$175.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.7%+$92.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$83.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$17.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+39.9%+$64.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karmine Corp win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+39.5%+$7.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+39%+$82.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $295?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.9%+$38.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$25.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.