Movies · resolved market
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83aed2c392271ac86cd19d3f4197754eb24eec1b643bb42b857bfecae0f68b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 34c | 11,550$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625.86 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked No | 13c | 10,108$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.41 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 32c | 9,911$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,708.56 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 33c | 5,094$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.57 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 52c | 3,725$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.54 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,150$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.86 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 37c | 3,031$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.32 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 32c | 3,000$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.87 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 54c | 2,891$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.57 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 58c | 1,948$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.3 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 16c | 1,894$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.42 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 31c | 1,830$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.44 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 79c | 1,552$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 13c | 1,512$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.55 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 29c | 1,387$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.47 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 76c | 1,314$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 46c | 1,237$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.42 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 33c | 1,061$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.94 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 35c | 974.33$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.67 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 63c | 932.2$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.27 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 17c | 898.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.47 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 895$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.54 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 54c | 803.57$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 35c | 769.55$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed Yes | 14c | 699.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 19c | 697.86$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.32 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…7246backed No | 37c | 697.15$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 59c | 689.42$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.38 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 27c | 595.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.57 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 30c | 577.78$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 14c | 530.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 35c | 509.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.43 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…6735backed Yes | 78c | 504.1$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 55c | 470.71$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked No | 50c | 459.32$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 23c | 419.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.08 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 42c | 382$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…f21dbacked No | 65c | 375.2$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 35c | 359.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Yes | 55c | 355.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 345$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 210 | 9.5%20 W · 190 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 69c | 341.07$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.18 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 333.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked No | 15c | 313.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 23c | 288.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 16c | 285.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 65c | 284.6$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked Yes | 66c | 257$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 60c | 250$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 53c | 233.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 230.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 217.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…649dbacked Yes | 51c | 212.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 30c | 201.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked No | 77c | 200$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…090fbacked No | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 47c | 194.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…c4b4backed No | 16c | 193$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 17c | 192.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.63 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked Yes | 48c | 170.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b066backed Yes | 79c | 168.21$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 64c | 152$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 52c | 150.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…3137backed No | 33c | 150.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 50c | 149.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 149.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcaec…2694backed Yes | 13c | 148.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +644.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 23c | 139.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 15c | 116.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed No | 78c | 116.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 61c | 113.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc4…a2ffbacked No | 30c | 108$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…ee45backed Yes | 19c | 106.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…beeebacked Yes | 17c | 105$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…b10ebacked Yes | 38c | 104.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed No | 56c | 102.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…3ff1backed Yes | 14c | 101.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…5bb2backed No | 27c | 101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ec…5b29backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…d242backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 49c | 96.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed No | 47c | 94.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 16c | 90$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 49c | 83.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…7717backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed No | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 43c | 74.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 52c | 74.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d50…a4c1backed No | 35c | 73.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b12bbacked Yes | 24c | 70.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc9…0b92backed Yes | 75c | 70.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 26c | 65.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 52c | 64.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 63c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?this page
- Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?No won
- Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?No won
- Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?No won
- Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.