TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59e4…c67b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT6330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 58 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$858Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$254.13
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will "Obsession" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$8.74
Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.71
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.05
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.36
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.83
Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.41
Will "Animal Farm" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will "Hokum" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$49.5
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will "Desert Warriors" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$51
Will "Mother Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.88
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$64.18
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 41m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.84
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$190
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$402.6
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,873Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+193.6%+$3,626.77
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.6
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$88.62
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50.28
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$60.32
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$220.57
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.27
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$80.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$297.89
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+43.1%+$6.46
All 19 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.4%+$85.3
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.16
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$41.77
Will Red Bull finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.2%+$42.23
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+45.4%+$15.89
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$57.9
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+126.3%+$51.78
Will Oscar Piastri achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.5
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$16.16
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.6%+$306.46
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$153
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+224.1%+$193.6
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$6.37
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.