F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf801edca4e298845a2d6d101840f0808eca3174617becea268d76894bbcaa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 70c | 4,627$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.06 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 4,607$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 68c | 4,067$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.72 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 36c | 1,899$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.77 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Yes | 32c | 1,573$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 66c | 1,100$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 70c | 799.99$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 64c | 728.9$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.23 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 63c | 604.8$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.33 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 31c | 500$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.8 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 37c | 460.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.81 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 59c | 460$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 52c | 401$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…1d3abacked Yes | 35c | 340.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 64c | 247.22$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc7…cf36backed Yes | 36c | 244.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 60c | 231.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 45c | 219$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…1b36backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24a…10acbacked Yes | 51c | 195.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d44…3520backed Yes | 49c | 182.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 63c | 157.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 40c | 155.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 55c | 128.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3371backed Yes | 33c | 113.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 15c | 111.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…197ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…7b85backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…397bbacked Yes | 65c | 92.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462e…2ab2backed Yes | 45c | 92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa978…5801backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 71c | 79.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Yes | 45c | 78.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe632…aa26backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…5988backed Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…9444backed Yes | 37c | 53.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked No | 70c | 51.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…5ebbbacked Yes | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed No | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b6…f17dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed No | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Yes | 49c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a77…9a37backed Yes | 65c | 37.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf2…e87dbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 54c | 35.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 63c | 34.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed No | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…44b8backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 42c | 24.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 20.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.