TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x699c…3371

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: F1, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4515.6%7 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$42.13
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Zhang Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tallison Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Kai Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$22.88
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$39.19
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$86.34
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$93.11
UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Quillan Salkilld · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tai Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Joselyne Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$61.15
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.43
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$68.15
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.49
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$31.04
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$62.46
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Virna Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$35.82
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 24 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+163.4%+$130.74
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+205.2%+$76.34
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$22.5
F1 Dutch GP: Hamilton vs. Russell backed Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$10.4
Will Max Verstappen win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.