UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a2ab57fb58a54a26acc74b53ba4457a5dec5cdde863f77b9c5bfc9edb7ea8f

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Carlos Pratesof Carlos Prates, Jack Della Maddalena
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,475,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,619,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,475,524 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 955 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c80…02c3backed Carlos Prates	52c	224,878$116,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108,056.45	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	191,009$93,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,161.97	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Carlos Prates	50c	144,235$72,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,858.77	134	52.2%70 W · 64 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Jack Della Maddalena	48c	99,946$47,974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,974	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3224…49f7backed Jack Della Maddalena	0c	99,780$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Jack Della Maddalena	48c	91,392$43,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,868.28	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Jack Della Maddalena	47c	77,697$36,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,884.74	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Carlos Prates	51c	71,775$36,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,169.51	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Carlos Prates	51c	70,048$36,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,024.14	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Jack Della Maddalena	48c	68,796$33,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,022.08	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Jack Della Maddalena	51c	46,840$23,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,767.04	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Jack Della Maddalena	50c	44,831$22,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,352.94	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Jack Della Maddalena	51c	40,000$20,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,399.98	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c9…396dbacked Carlos Prates	52c	39,369$20,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,896.92	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Carlos Prates	50c	32,526$16,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,313.42	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Carlos Prates	55c	24,582$13,423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,159.48	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Carlos Prates	51c	24,510$12,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,009.79	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+42%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Carlos Prates	49c	20,000$9,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,200	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Carlos Prates	51c	19,656$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,656.5	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Jack Della Maddalena	50c	19,000$9,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,500	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Carlos Prates	50c	15,820$7,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,858.3	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Carlos Prates	52c	15,594$8,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,426.2	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Carlos Prates	52c	13,450$6,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,473.22	154	44.2%68 W · 86 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	12,747$6,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,248.85	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Carlos Prates	62c	12,644$7,891 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,752.64	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	12,000$5,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,879.99	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Jack Della Maddalena	50c	11,463$5,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,680.99	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Carlos Prates	50c	11,429$5,722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,706.82	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Carlos Prates	49c	10,200$4,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,201.95	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Carlos Prates	52c	10,192$5,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,892.31	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Carlos Prates	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…e99bbacked Carlos Prates	50c	9,852$4,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,925.96	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Carlos Prates	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,803.92	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Carlos Prates	50c	9,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	0%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1c80…1c3bbacked Carlos Prates	51c	7,900$4,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,871	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	7,155$3,475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,474.96	71	28.2%20 W · 51 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Jack Della Maddalena	50c	7,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aab…2ca3backed Jack Della Maddalena	50c	6,795$3,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,427	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x703d…b75dbacked Jack Della Maddalena	48c	6,510$3,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,125	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.29per pick	45cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,939.95	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	5,940$2,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,910.6	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Carlos Prates	51c	5,862$2,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,892.35	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Jack Della Maddalena	50c	5,800$2,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,882	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Carlos Prates	50c	5,200$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7966…6f94backed Jack Della Maddalena	48c	5,112$2,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,439.8	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jack Della Maddalena	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349.96	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Carlos Prates	52c	4,808$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.69	91	64.8%59 W · 32 L	+8.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Carlos Prates	71c	4,767$3,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.28	180	32.8%59 W · 121 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Jack Della Maddalena	50c	4,749$2,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,374.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Jack Della Maddalena	47c	4,659$2,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,209.35	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c57…427ebacked Carlos Prates	50c	4,629$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,329.05	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Carlos Prates	49c	4,570$2,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,330.65	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc8backed Jack Della Maddalena	33c	4,549$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	4,239$2,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,077.01	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Jack Della Maddalena	50c	4,100$2,039 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x718c…50eabacked Jack Della Maddalena	47c	4,046$1,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,901.54	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Jack Della Maddalena	13c	4,035$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.31	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Carlos Prates	52c	4,000$2,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,922	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Jack Della Maddalena	51c	3,960$2,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,018.99	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff3…d376backed Jack Della Maddalena	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	3,905$1,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,913.45	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Carlos Prates	51c	3,887$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,887.85	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	3,872$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0041…fe62backed Jack Della Maddalena	51c	3,800$1,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,938	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Carlos Prates	52c	3,677$1,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,782.56	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	3,628$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777.55	291	33.7%98 W · 193 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Carlos Prates	64c	3,553$2,263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290.54	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Carlos Prates	52c	3,500$1,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	905	53.6%485 W · 420 L	+46.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jack Della Maddalena	49c	3,416$1,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,673.93	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae5…0720backed Carlos Prates	52c	3,333$1,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,599.84	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Jack Della Maddalena	53c	3,173$1,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,676.03	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dad…1d41backed Carlos Prates	51c	3,161$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560.78	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-4.5wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x35a7…c4eebacked Carlos Prates	53c	3,129$1,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,484.39	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Carlos Prates	51c	3,001$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,481.27	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e55…e3e2backed Carlos Prates	51c	3,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,459.99	25	76%19 W · 6 L	+5.1wins	+0.20per pick	56cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Jack Della Maddalena	36c	3,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.99	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Carlos Prates	50c	2,900$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Jack Della Maddalena	50c	2,787$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.44	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b5e…3a87backed Carlos Prates	54c	2,712$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,253.13	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Jack Della Maddalena	31c	2,683$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.74	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Carlos Prates	51c	2,595$1,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,281.29	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Jack Della Maddalena	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Jack Della Maddalena	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Carlos Prates	52c	2,500$1,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,195	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…8faebacked Carlos Prates	50c	2,400$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e2…cac2backed Carlos Prates	51c	2,397$1,223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,174.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Jack Della Maddalena	27c	2,370$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.68	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Jack Della Maddalena	40c	2,255$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.09	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Carlos Prates	53c	2,193$1,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,027.16	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Carlos Prates	50c	2,150$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,075	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Carlos Prates	51c	2,118$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.65	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jack Della Maddalena	49c	2,104$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.15	420	54%227 W · 193 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0267backed Jack Della Maddalena	49c	2,050$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.5	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Jack Della Maddalena	39c	2,024$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.42	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Carlos Prates	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Carlos Prates	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.4wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1da…94c8backed Carlos Prates	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+64%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Jack Della Maddalena	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Jack Della Maddalena	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Jack Della Maddalena	46c	2,000$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$920	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Will Carlos Prates win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will Jack Della Maddalena win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event