Premier League · resolved market
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b30559109e5a8edb0aea12bf209e7242328d0f650a876dfb39b0d5e5d345160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bad…9777backed Yes | 57c | 28,000$15,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 44c | 27,571$12,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,445.64 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 43c | 20,251$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600.78 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…9a8bbacked Yes | 56c | 17,978$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 44c | 16,994$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,546.48 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 60c | 15,651$9,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,309.46 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 44c | 12,850$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,251.04 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Yes | 58c | 12,671$7,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,351.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 41c | 9,081$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 45c | 5,754$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.45 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked No | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 42c | 4,921$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.79 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 59c | 4,822$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 9c | 4,442$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.52 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6b…57c5backed Yes | 1c | 2,930$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…7b38backed Yes | 57c | 2,861$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 43c | 2,820$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.15 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,674$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,650$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 30c | 2,516$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.24 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 43c | 2,309$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.77 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 43c | 2,236$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…92eabacked Yes | 56c | 2,087$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 44c | 2,000$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.95 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1450…7603backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6be7backed Yes | 57c | 1,726$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,513$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 62c | 1,417$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.7 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Yes | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393b…06c0backed Yes | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…5bb9backed Yes | 54c | 1,208$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 35c | 1,167$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…3f87backed Yes | 59c | 1,031$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 57c | 966.48$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…c838backed No | 44c | 907.71$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes | 56c | 892.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -6.0wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes | 58c | 887.66$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 57c | 883.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…8efbbacked Yes | 58c | 876.11$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…d9e5backed Yes | 58c | 870.69$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…b9bcbacked Yes | 58c | 869.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…2459backed Yes | 58c | 863.12$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…3128backed No | 46c | 860.29$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 44c | 811.43$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.4 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Yes | 57c | 775.25$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes | 56c | 753$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…c074backed Yes | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe793…0781backed Yes | 56c | 723.71$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 44c | 703.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.22 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked Yes | 56c | 700$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 55c | 684.17$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 56c | 664.21$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.24 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes | 58c | 648.58$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe591…d8a5backed Yes | 57c | 643.79$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 34c | 631.35$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.02 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 57c | 622.49$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.38 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked Yes | 56c | 609.29$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d10…8e5fbacked Yes | 55c | 569.09$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 41c | 566.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 56c | 539.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 43c | 534.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.14 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…1c24backed Yes | 56c | 533$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 60c | 496.66$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 31c | 489.04$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.92 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 77c | 480.84$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…bef2backed Yes | 57c | 472.53$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 62c | 448$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.76 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 56c | 444$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.93 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 74c | 360.59$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.91 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 45c | 342.54$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…aeb9backed Yes | 57c | 330$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…cfdebacked Yes | 59c | 311.64$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Yes | 18c | 300.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…23cebacked Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 56c | 283.49$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…99afbacked Yes | 56c | 280.36$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69c…645bbacked Yes | 56c | 273.21$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…077dbacked Yes | 55c | 273.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 272.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6176…9179backed Yes | 57c | 268.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…0fbdbacked No | 78c | 258.35$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…7c66backed Yes | 58c | 258$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 45c | 256.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Yes | 55c | 249.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…18ecbacked Yes | 57c | 244.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 22c | 241.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 56c | 241.54$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…edecbacked Yes | 58c | 237.72$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…f48bbacked Yes | 56c | 230.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 55c | 226.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Man City end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.