Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Man City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fdb1a9b6adebd6f5bb2fa82d1b28f5f9fb2f80e690dd6745c83b4a5f810f0ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 31c | 1,307$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 66c | 1,253$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.82 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 74c | 1,152$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.37 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e0…45efbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 26c | 650.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 21c | 627.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 465$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Yes | 58c | 427.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 24c | 400.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 75c | 335.3$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 22c | 333.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffa…8be3backed Yes | 25c | 253.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 76c | 229.79$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 58c | 226.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 76c | 221.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 10c | 219.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 24c | 215.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 76c | 203.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 22c | 199.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 34c | 133.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…086bbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 73c | 113.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…e864backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Yes | 23c | 94.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 76c | 75.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cc…e6ebbacked Yes | 27c | 69.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 24c | 63.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Yes | 32c | 61.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031c…97c2backed No | 78c | 58.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…c1d4backed Yes | 24c | 47.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…e244backed Yes | 27c | 43.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…1438backed Yes | 60c | 43.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…cde3backed No | 79c | 33.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8e…fad4backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…7524backed No | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bed…7202backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 75c | 14.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…af71backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66f…93f8backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…d559backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 79cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Man City end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?Yes won
- Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.