TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd385…af0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$50.22
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.78
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+647.2%+$97.09
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$91.24
Will Ipswich win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Brighton vs. Man City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Wolves vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+212.5%+$37.81
Will Ipswich win on 2024-10-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Liverpool beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Bournemouth beat Newcastle?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$22.75
Will Arsenal beat Aston Villa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$20.68
Will West Ham beat Crystal Palace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.6
Will Brighton vs Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur beat Leicester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.07
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$32.23
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Adesanya vs. Imavovbacked Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$239.22
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+257.1%+$36
Bautista vs. Aldobacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-68.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+119.8%+$23.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$65.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$31.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Ravensbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+69.3%+$37.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelensky say "we need" 3 or more times during his UN address?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.