Champions League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa beat Young Boys?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c66931ca9d5ed18254bcec595a921a37a4dc31d26e7e36bc19230fa04ec487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 40c | 1,847$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.15 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 61c | 1,014$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.73 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 40c | 999.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 40c | 853.58$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.46 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 38c | 850$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…7e7abacked Yes | 64c | 781.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 36c | 724.64$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.05 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 3c | 536.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 42c | 495.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 61c | 494.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 80c | 441.33$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Yes | 58c | 371$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…96edbacked Yes | 60c | 318.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 72c | 250$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 39c | 222$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Yes | 54c | 185.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 25c | 158.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…a8bcbacked Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 61c | 81.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…6e70backed No | 41c | 74.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…c7a6backed Yes | 60c | 64.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…803ebacked Yes | 60c | 51.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…542bbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…5bccbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…8f7fbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Yes | 60c | 49.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…add5backed Yes | 60c | 49.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…3c54backed No | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…bcbcbacked Yes | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…5813backed Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…dd5fbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 60c | 29.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9654…58fbbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…edf7backed Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…88e7backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2006…cc76backed Yes | 61c | 17.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa beat Young Boys?this page
- Will Young Boys beat Aston Villa?No won
- Will Young Boys vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.