TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Magic, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,293,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,313,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,293,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,003 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5afb…4511backed 76ers33c427,046$139,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287,270.225540%22 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Magic65c214,982$140,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140,746.621070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed 76ers32c185,000$59,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,700.0320253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Magic67c149,692$100,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,342.292867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Magic0c145,748$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8628…6f0bbacked Magic67c115,828$78,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,062.783026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed 76ers64c106,588$67,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,705.1119249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic35c105,000$36,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,654.6838248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Magic67c85,554$57,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,321.478843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed 76ers36c67,660$24,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,605.8236148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed 76ers32c62,484$19,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,489.087255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Magic68c62,306$42,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,367.741,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers41c53,634$22,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,399.9385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers34c51,641$17,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,994.632,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Magic39c31,787$12,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,361.975246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Magic63c30,567$19,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,210.341,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Magic68c30,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,4007946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed 76ers48c25,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,999.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed 76ers34c25,000$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,499.9651350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b5…b099backed Magic68c24,000$16,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,320425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa4…a930backed 76ers33c23,700$7,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,8794100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+84%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Magic57c23,001$13,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,133.911,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed 76ers34c22,403$7,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,785.922,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Magic68c22,059$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00017354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Magic67c20,852$13,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,948.3341848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2339…39b5backed 76ers36c15,989$5,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,240.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Magic39c15,971$6,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,182.0647144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed 76ers61c15,657$9,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,075.3347448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed 76ers35c15,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,75034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed 76ers68c14,779$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,778.5334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x897a…bad8backed 76ers42c13,450$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8011100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f0…4c89backed Magic58c13,450$7,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed 76ers34c13,361$4,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,831.0661835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Magic32c12,863$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,121.0127041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Magic68c11,000$7,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4803663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06b…42fcbacked Magic68c10,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 76ers35c10,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.9966853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed 76ers32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,799.9716942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e78…cdb7backed 76ers36c9,871$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,338.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Magic68c9,450$6,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,42610949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Magic68c9,360$6,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,364.777468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f2…c7c7backed Magic66c8,870$5,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,835.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic67c8,800$5,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8962,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf13e…b1dbbacked Magic66c8,590$5,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,648.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42b…b143backed Magic66c8,400$5,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,543.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Magic67c8,000$5,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,360540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed 76ers71c7,801$5,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.616752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Magic68c7,500$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10037557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed 76ers32c7,500$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.966152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7463…327fbacked 76ers70c7,227$5,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic63c7,117$4,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,470.1744459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161e…6ef0backed 76ers70c6,949$4,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.985664.3%36 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed 76ers34c6,700$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,42118142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Magic39c6,563$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,543.9227917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda8…2fd6backed 76ers33c6,555$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,391.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x075f…f783backed 76ers65c6,257$4,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.73862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic65c6,002$3,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,885.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Magic67c5,851$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,922.371052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Magic65c5,025$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.0312160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic5c5,014$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5281529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Magic68c5,009$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,405.9320248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ca…0f37backed Magic68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed 76ers32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4005942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc94…dfbcbacked 76ers33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Magic30c4,977$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.822744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Magic67c4,974$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.864553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Magic27c4,807$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.371,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0971…83abbacked 76ers72c4,707$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.17850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic46c4,706$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed 76ers34c4,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic35c3,819$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.291,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Magic62c3,645$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.8233945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked 76ers34c3,463$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.0669852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9338…8addbacked 76ers33c3,400$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed 76ers33c3,310$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.065149%25 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Magic68c3,110$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1155971.2%42 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed 76ers33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6424…9e53backed Magic68c3,015$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers43c3,000$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.9980146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb515…f7f9backed 76ers33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Magic63c2,783$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.1119351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Magic66c2,727$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8009652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed 76ers33c2,604$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.1535235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Magic33c2,548$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.642,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Magic68c2,491$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.7643051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed 76ers41c2,469$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.8329037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Magic67c2,420$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Magic62c2,404$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.032,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Magic34c2,358$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.713042.3%55 W · 75 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic30c2,305$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.63,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked 76ers32c2,300$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56416446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…4b9dbacked 76ers46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+67.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers36c2,087$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.751,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdde9…20f1backed Magic44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Magic68c1,981$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3412035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked 76ers46c1,969$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.5866744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Magic15c1,951$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3420034%68 W · 132 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed 76ers45c1,879$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.5516852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed 76ers69c1,767$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.717441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.